Match Info

Division 3 - Group 2 - Round 12

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday


	Rosenborg II		Spjelkavik

	1	X	2
	1.68	4.20	3.50
	1.65	4.00	3.50
	1.63	4.40	3.65
	1.92	3.94	3.2	Watch
	1.61	4.35	3.60
	1.70	4.64	3.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.01)	4.26 ↑ (4.16)	3.51 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rosenborg II
53.1%

Draw
21.2%

Spjelkavik
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

22.1%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

21.3%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rosenborg II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rosenborg II's performance.

Spjelkavik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spjelkavik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosenborg II than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rosenborg II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spjelkavik than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spjelkavik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rosenborg II - Spjelkavik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
72', 0 - 1, Ottersen J. ⚽,
88', 1 - 1, Jacobsen I. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 1, Hedman B. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 10).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Spjelkavik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rosenborg II will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rosenborg II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Rosenborg II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Rosenborg 2	22	9	4	9	50:40	10	31
8	Spjelkavik	22	8	4	10	41:48	-7	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rosenborg BK II
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
19.06.26	Melhus - Rosenborg II	1:1 ✺
13.06.26	Rosenborg II - Molde 2	4:0 ✺
30.05.26	Nardo - Rosenborg II	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Rosenborg II - Volda	2:2 ✺
15.05.26	Ranheim 2 - Rosenborg II	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWTTL
- Spjelkavik IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
20.06.26	Spjelkavik - Orkla FK	0:2 ✺
30.05.26	Spjelkavik - Byåsen	4:0 ✺
22.05.26	Molde 2 - Spjelkavik	3:1 ✺
09.05.26	Spjelkavik - Aalesunds 2	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Kvik - Spjelkavik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
17.08.25	Rosenborg II - Spjelkavik	5:1
23.06.25	Spjelkavik - Rosenborg II	0:1

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