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Current Win Probability
Spokane Zephyr 31.7%
Draw 30.8%
Carolina Ascent 37.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.7%
29.5%
28.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43%
28.6%
27.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spokane Zephyr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spokane Zephyr's form might have worsened.
Carolina Ascent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carolina Ascent's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spokane Zephyr than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spokane Zephyr, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carolina Ascent than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carolina Ascent, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
99. Hisey H. (G) 18. Thomas H. 2. Tappan R. 5. Clark S. 23. Fontenot G. 3. Jaskaniec E. 22. Boone C. 16. Knox F. 12. Mahrt A. 19. Waldeck-Zierenberg T. 33. Cook A.
1. McClelland M. (G) 2. Martinez B. 12. Studer S. 5. Butler J. 7. Aguilera J. 10. Baisden R. 14. Porter T. 31. George M. 18. Harding A. 23. Parker R. 24. Morris E.
Substitutes
31. Coll H. (G) 11. Collins S. 17. Desiano M. 6. Houser K. 32. Johnston M. 8. Silano L. 9. Tucker C.
9. Corbin M. 11. Grabias L. 22. Hylton C. 15. Martinez S. (G) 19. Nally M. 28. Pierce M. 17. Walker A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
59', 0 - 1, Baisden R. ⚽, Harding A. (A),
60', Knox F. ↓, Tucker C. ↑,
68', 0 - 2, Baisden R. ⚽, George M. (A),
72', Boone C. ↓, Johnston M. ↑,
72', Fontenot G. ↓, Silano L. ↑,
76', Harding A. 🟨,
81', 1 - 2, Cook A. (Pen),
90+5', Baisden R. ↓, Pierce M. ↑,
90+6', Harding A. ↓, Corbin M. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Super League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5).
Spokane is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Carolina has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Spokane won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Spokane won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
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Hisey H. (G) 
Aguilera J. 
Houser K. 
Grabias L. 
Hylton C. 
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