Match Info

USL Super League Women

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Toyota Stadium (Georgetown, KY) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	16:00	Disney+
Canada	14:00	DAZN Canada
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Usa	14:00	Peacock


	Lexington		Spokane Zephyr

	1	X	2
	2.23	3.3	3.12
	2.07	3.26	3.29	Watch
	2.15	3	3
	2.2	3.33	3.07	Watch
	2.12	3.2	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.93)	3.22 ↓ (3.45)	3.15 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lexington
42.5%

Draw
28.4%

Spokane Zephyr
29.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.2%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lexington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Spokane Zephyr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lexington, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spokane Zephyr than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Lexington - Spokane Zephyr Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Asman K. (G) 12. Bourgeois A. 3. Pantuso A. 21. Sharts H. 19. Johnson H. 10. Ekic E. 17. Fung T. 6. Aylmer T. (C) 11. Weinert M. 15. Barry C. 18. Mccain A.	99. Hisey H. (G) 22. Boone C. 2. Tappan R. 5. Clark S. (C) 18. Thomas H. 16. Knox F. 9. Tucker C. 3. Jaskaniec E. 7. Oyler K. 23. Fontenot G. 8. Silano L.
Substitutes
1. Cox S. (G) 7. Gaynor J. 35. Griffith S. 25. Moyer S. 9. Nguyen A. 5. Perez M. 28. Rohan C.	13. Braun S. 31. Coll H. (G) 17. Desiano M. 32. Johnston M. 12. Mahrt A. 30. Thais 19. Waldeck-Zierenberg T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 0 - 1, Jaskaniec E. ⚽,
62', Ekic E. ↓, Griffith S. ↑,
63', Fung T. ↓, Moyer S. ↑,
66', Silano L. ↓, Thais ↑,
67', Oyler K. ↓, Braun S. ↑,
75', Weinert M. ↓, Nguyen A. ↑,
77', Braun S. 🟨,
77', Knox F. ↓, Mahrt A. ↑,
77', Fontenot G. ↓, Desiano M. ↑,
85', Tucker C. ↓, Johnston M. ↑,
85', Barry C. ↓, Gaynor J. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Mccain A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Super League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lexington won 0.

Lexington is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Spokane is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Lexington is a strong favorite.

We predict that Lexington will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lexington won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lexington won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lexington SC Women
USL Super League Women
22.11.25	Tampa Bay Sun - Lexington	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Brooklyn - Lexington	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Lexington - Sporting Jacksonville	4:2 ✺
16.10.25	Lexington - Fort Lauderdale United	5:1 ✺
10.10.25	Lexington - Carolina Ascent	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 TWWWT
- Spokane Zephyr
USL Super League Women
22.11.25	Brooklyn - Spokane Zephyr	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Spokane Zephyr - Dallas Trinity	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Spokane Zephyr - Tampa Bay Sun	0:1 ✺
30.10.25	Spokane Zephyr - Carolina Ascent	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	DC Power - Spokane Zephyr	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

USL Super League Women
04.10.25	Spokane Zephyr - Lexington	0:0
20.09.25	Lexington - Spokane Zephyr	0:0
03.05.25	Spokane Zephyr - Lexington	2:0
16.04.25	Lexington - Spokane Zephyr	0:3
13.11.24	Lexington - Spokane Zephyr	1:1
13.10.24	Spokane Zephyr - Lexington	2:3

Lexington - Spokane Zephyr