Match Info

Copa Espirito Santo - Round 8

Date: 7 June 2025, Saturday


	Sport Capixaba		Serra

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	1.78
				Watch
	4.7	4.15	1.55
	4.3	4.1	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.2 ↑ (2.38)	3.92 ↑ (3.25)	1.64 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Capixaba
21.6%

Draw
23.2%

Serra
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

28.2%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

27.9%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Capixaba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sport Capixaba's form might have worsened.

Serra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Serra's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Capixaba than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sport Capixaba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serra than the current prediction. (-21.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Serra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Sport Capixaba - Serra Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Serra will win (votes: 7 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Serra will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
16', 1 - 0, ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, ⚽,
33', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 2 - 2, ⚽,
85', 🟥,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Espirito Santo (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

In recent matches, Sport-ES has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Serra is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Serra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Serra has had a series of home games.

Serra could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Capixaba
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
03.06.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Sport Capixaba	3:1 ✺
24.05.25	Sport Capixaba - Capixaba SC	1:4 ✺
10.05.25	Sport Capixaba - Noroeste	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Vilavelhense - Sport Capixaba	0:2 ✺
27.04.25	Rio Branco-VN - Sport Capixaba	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 75.1 LLWWL
- Serra FC
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
04.06.25	Serra - Porto Vitória	2:3 ✺
25.05.25	Vitória ES - Serra	4:0 ✺
16.05.25	Serra - Desportiva Ferroviaria	0:2 ✺
02.05.25	Serra - Rio Branco-VN	0:1 ✺
29.04.25	Serra - Rio Branco AC ES	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT

Sport Capixaba - Serra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide