Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 32

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday


	Sportfreunde Lotte		Fortuna Düsseldorf II

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.3	2.72
	2.4	3.36	2.75
	2.4	3.2	2.8
	2.3	3.1	2.7
	2.32	3.24	2.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.33)	3.24 ↓ (3.35)	2.73 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportfreunde Lotte
38.6%

Draw
28.1%

Fortuna Düsseldorf II
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

27.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

28.9%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportfreunde Lotte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Fortuna Düsseldorf II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportfreunde Lotte than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf II than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Sportfreunde Lotte - Fortuna Düsseldorf II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Stublla S. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SF Lotte won 3.

SF Lotte is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Fortuna II is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fortuna II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, SF Lotte won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:21. (average 1.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, SF Lotte won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 2:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Lotte	11	0	3	8	7:22	-15	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportfreunde Lotte
German Regionalliga West
29.04.26	Sportfreunde Lotte - Bocholt	1:1 ✺
24.04.26	Gütersloh - Sportfreunde Lotte	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	Sportfreunde Lotte - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	0:1 ✺
15.04.26	Sportfreunde Lotte - Schalke 04 II	2:5 ✺
11.04.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Sportfreunde Lotte	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL
- Fortuna Düsseldorf II
German Regionalliga West
24.04.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Siegen	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Paderborn II - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Wiedenbrück	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Köln II - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Fortuna Köln	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
09.11.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Sportfreunde Lotte	2:3
28.02.25	Sportfreunde Lotte - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	3:3
15.09.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:4
14.12.21	Sportfreunde Lotte - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	3:1
14.08.21	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Sportfreunde Lotte	2:1
20.02.21	Sportfreunde Lotte - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	1:1
26.09.20	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Sportfreunde Lotte	6:0

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