Match Info

Date: 23 October 2021, Saturday


	Sportfreunde Lotte		Wegberg-Beeck

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	2.95
	2.25	3.1	3
	2.24	3.3	2.95
	2.3	3.33	3.03
	2.26	3.4	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.06)	3.27 ↓ (3.56)	3.01 ↓ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportfreunde Lotte
41.1%

Draw
28.2%

Wegberg-Beeck
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

26.5%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

17.9%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportfreunde Lotte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Wegberg-Beeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportfreunde Lotte than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sportfreunde Lotte that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wegberg-Beeck than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wegberg-Beeck could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sportfreunde Lotte - Wegberg Beeck Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Sportfreunde Lotte is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Wegberg-Beeck is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wegberg-Beeck could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sportfreunde Lotte will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sportfreunde Lotte won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Sportfreunde Lotte won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportfreunde Lotte
German Regionalliga West
16.10.21	Sportfreunde Lotte - Bonner	0:2 ✺
09.10.21	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Sportfreunde Lotte	3:0 ✺
06.10.21	Uerdingen - Sportfreunde Lotte	2:0 ✺
01.10.21	Sportfreunde Lotte - Alemannia Aachen	1:0 ✺
25.09.21	Köln II - Sportfreunde Lotte	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL
- FC Wegberg-Beeck
German Regionalliga West
15.10.21	Wegberg-Beeck - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	1:0 ✺
08.10.21	Alemannia Aachen - Wegberg-Beeck	3:2 ✺
01.10.21	Wegberg-Beeck - Köln II	0:1 ✺
25.09.21	Wiedenbrück - Wegberg-Beeck	1:1 ✺
18.09.21	Wegberg-Beeck - Uerdingen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
22.05.21	Sportfreunde Lotte - Wegberg-Beeck	3:1
04.12.20	Wegberg-Beeck - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:0
24.03.16	Wegberg-Beeck - Sportfreunde Lotte	0:2
26.09.15	Sportfreunde Lotte - Wegberg-Beeck	2:1

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