The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sporting Kansas City II 34.5%
Draw 24.4%
Colorado Rapids 2 41.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.9%
25.2%
31.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.1%
23.6%
34.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Kansas City II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting Kansas City II's form might have worsened.
Colorado Rapids 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colorado Rapids 2's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City II than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Kansas City II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Rapids 2 than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colorado Rapids 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sporting Kansas City II - Colorado Rapids 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
91. Molinaro J. (G) 42. Cunningham A. 41. Lurot P. (C) 57. Diego Borges 13. Reynolds J. 47. Burns T. 48. Mabie B. 88. Donovan S. 75. Loyo Reynaga Z. 96. Rodriguez M. 37. Ikoba T.
61. Dowd B. (G) 66. De La Fuente J. (C) 55. Gilmore G. 94. Rinaldi V. 35. Cameron J. 49. Tchoumba N. 39. Garcia L. 87. Siegler S. 18. Jamison B. 47. Wathuta S. 42. Copeland J.
Substitutes
35. Ferguson M. 87. Francka J. 70. Haas T. 77. Hines K. 45. Krysiewics B. (G) 76. Ortiz J. 44. Quintero G. 34. Russo D. 72. Wantland Z.
44. Aquino C. 45. De Coteau J. 57. Garcia R. 37. Harper C. 90. Heredia E. 40. Thomas K. 81. Williams D. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
7', Gilmore G. 🟨,
9', Reynolds J. 🟨,
22', Rinaldi V. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Ikoba T. ⚽, Rodriguez M. (A),
37', 2 - 0, Mabie B. ⚽,
44', Cameron J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Diego Borges ↓, Ferguson M. ↑,
46', Reynolds J. ↓, Russo D. ↑,
61', Tchoumba N. ↓, De Coteau J. ↑,
61', Copeland J. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
62', Ikoba T. ↓, Hines K. ↑,
75', Burns T. 🟨,
75', Burns T. ↓, Haas T. ↑,
77', Wathuta S. ↓, Heredia E. ↑,
77', Siegler S. ↓, Aquino C. ↑,
86', Loyo Reynaga Z. ↓, Quintero G. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Gilmore G. ⚽,
90', Garcia L. ↓, Harper C. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Aquino C. (Penalty Awarded),
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Donovan S. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Aquino C. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Mabie B. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Garcia L. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Ferguson M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Heredia E. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Hines K. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Rinaldi V. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Haas T. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Jamison B. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting KC II won 2.
Sporting KC II has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Colorado Rapids 2 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sporting KC II won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:19. (average 2.4:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Sporting KC II won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 2.8:1.6).