Match Info

MLS Next Pro

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Starfire Sports (Tukwila, WA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Next Pro, SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Tacoma Defiance		Colorado Rapids 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.80	3.60	3.50
	1.85	3.7	3.55
	1.85	3.85	3.68
	1.85	3.86	3.7	Watch
	1.83	3.7	3.6
	1.85	3.87	3.71	Watch
	1.84	3.7	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.79)	3.75 (3.75)	3.61 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tacoma Defiance
50%

Draw
24.5%

Colorado Rapids 2
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

23.8%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

23%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacoma Defiance has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Colorado Rapids 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Rapids 2 than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Tacoma Defiance - Colorado Rapids 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Shour M. (C) 47. Alvarez D. 34. Robles D. 58. Winslow J. 84. Gaffney C. 40. O'Neill M. 32. Gnaulati X. 48. Phoenix C. 30. Carli E. 81. Bronnik M. 42. Jauregui R.	61. Dowd B. (G) 56. Chan Tack J. 55. Gilmore G. 37. Harper C. 94. Rinaldi V. 35. Cameron J. 66. De La Fuente J. 44. Aquino C. 15. Fadal A. (C) 47. Wathuta S. 18. Jamison B.
Substitutes
80. Brown D. 43. Hassan O. 97. Kitafuji S. 76. Kolomiets V. 56. Newman N. (G) 53. Sandnes G. 67. Sugitani T.	45. De Coteau J. 39. Garcia L. 57. Garcia R. 90. Heredia E. 76. Pomeroy J. 40. Thomas K. 81. Williams D. (G)
Coaches
Nagamura P.	Bushey E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Alvarez D. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Bronnik M. ⚽, Jauregui R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gilmore G. ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
52', 2 - 0, Carli E. (Penalty Awarded),
57', Chan Tack J. 🟨,
63', Aquino C. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
71', Phoenix C. 🟨,
73', Winslow J. 🟥,
75', 2 - 1, Wathuta S. (Penalty Awarded),
76', Robles D. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
86', Bronnik M. 🟨,
88', Carli E. ↓, Hassan O. ↑,
90+2', Hassan O. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Colorado Rapids 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tacoma is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 2.6:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tacoma won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 2.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tacoma Defiance
MLS Next Pro
19.07.26	Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance	2:4 ✺
12.07.26	San Jose Earthquakes 2 - Tacoma Defiance	0:1 ✺
05.07.26	Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers 2	0:2 ✺
28.06.26	Minnesota United 2 - Tacoma Defiance	3:2 penalties ✺
21.06.26	Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWLLW
- Colorado Rapids 2
MLS Next Pro
18.07.26	Houston Dynamo 2 - Colorado Rapids 2	2:1 ✺
11.07.26	Colorado Rapids 2 - North Texas	1:0 ✺
05.07.26	Austin II - Colorado Rapids 2	3:2 ✺
27.06.26	Colorado Rapids 2 - Vancouver Whitecaps 2	1:0 ✺
20.06.26	Colorado Rapids 2 - Portland Timbers 2	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

MLS Next Pro
21.09.25	Tacoma Defiance - Colorado Rapids 2	1:4
20.07.25	Colorado Rapids 2 - Tacoma Defiance	6:4
24.03.24	Tacoma Defiance - Colorado Rapids 2	4:2
13.08.23	Tacoma Defiance - Colorado Rapids 2	1:3
18.06.23	Colorado Rapids 2 - Tacoma Defiance	1:2
18.06.22	Tacoma Defiance - Colorado Rapids 2	4:1
22.05.22	Colorado Rapids 2 - Tacoma Defiance	0:2

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