The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sporting Kansas City II 29.7%
Draw 23%
Minnesota United 2 47.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.4%
21.8%
52.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.9%
21.4%
53.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Kansas City II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Minnesota United 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Minnesota United 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Kansas City II than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United 2 than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Minnesota United 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sporting Kansas City II - Minnesota United 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Kortkamp J. (G) 42. Cunningham A. 41. Lurot P. 35. Ferguson M. 34. Russo D. 44. Quintero G. 88. Donovan S. 48. Mabie B. (C) 70. Haas T. 77. Hines K. 96. Rodriguez M.
46. Perkins K. (G) 62. Bojang M. 35. Tarnue P. 97. Clarkson J. 59. Farris J. 92. Kabia A. (C) 90. Pechota L. 71. Kibisu J. 36. Friedman J. 39. Hille L. 32. Putt T.
Substitutes
66. Brooks E. 47. Burns T. 52. Dean F. 87. Francka J. 49. Lor T. 91. Molinaro J. (G) 72. Wantland Z. 50. Worcester S.
61. Bernard J. 75. Cruz H. 50. Harwood M. 44. Porter G. 66. Schauf B. 95. Vigilante S. 54. Witte A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Putt T. (Penalty Awarded),
27', 1 - 0, Rodriguez M. ⚽,
37', Bojang M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kibisu J. ↓, Bernard J. ↑,
46', Russo D. ↓, Worcester S. ↑,
46', Pechota L. ↓, Cruz H. ↑,
46', Bojang M. ↓, Vigilante S. ↑,
57', Ferguson M. ↓, Francka J. ↑,
59', Cunningham A. 🟨,
62', Kabia A. 🟨,
72', Friedman J. ↓, Porter G. ↑,
72', Hines K. ↓, Brooks E. ↑,
81', Quintero G. ↓, Dean F. ↑,
81', Rodriguez M. ↓, Wantland Z. ↑,
84', Brooks E. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting KC II won 0.
Sporting KC II is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Minnesota 2's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Minnesota 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Sporting KC II has had a series of away games.
Minnesota 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sporting KC II won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:28. (average 2:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Sporting KC II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.7:2).
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Kortkamp J. (G) 
Lurot P. 
Tarnue P. 
Kabia A. (C) 
Putt T. 
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