Match Info

Liga Revelacao U23 - Championship Group - Round 3

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11, Sporting TV


	Sporting Lisbon U23		Famalicão U23

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.4	2.12
	3	3.53	2.23
	2.92	3.68	2.2	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.15
	2.91	3.4	2.16
	2.75	3.55	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.8)	3.46 ↓ (3.77)	2.18 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon U23
31.7%

Draw
26.4%

Famalicão U23
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

24.7%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

23.7%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Famalicão U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon U23 than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Famalicão U23 than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Sporting Lisbon U23 - Famalicão U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting U23 won 1.

Sporting U23 has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Famalicão U23 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sporting U23 won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting U23 won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sporting CP U23	7	4	3	0	15:9	6	15
13	Famalicao U23	7	2	2	3	13:15	-2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
10.03.26	Académico de Viseu U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Leixões U23	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Santa Clara U23	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Benfica U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	4:2 ✺
10.02.26	Leixões U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT
- Famalicão U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
10.03.26	Leixões U23 - Famalicão U23	1:2 ✺
03.03.26	Famalicão U23 - Santa Clara U23	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Famalicão U23 - Benfica U23	4:0 ✺
15.02.26	Famalicão U23 - Braga U23	4:2 ✺
10.02.26	Santa Clara U23 - Famalicão U23	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
08.04.25	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Famalicão U23	1:1
28.01.25	Famalicão U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	1:1
05.03.24	Famalicão U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	1:3
16.01.24	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Famalicão U23	0:0
21.03.22	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Famalicão U23	2:5
01.02.22	Famalicão U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	2:0
13.12.19	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Famalicão U23	1:2

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