Match Info

Liga Revelacao U23 - Championship Group - Round 8

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11, Sporting TV


	Sporting Lisbon U23		Leixões U23

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.35	3.2
	2.03	3.7	3.33
	1.99	3.78	3.3	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.2
	1.9	3.48	3.47	Watch
	1.86	3.35	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.89)	3.49 ↓ (3.71)	3.36 ↓ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon U23
46.7%

Draw
26.1%

Leixões U23
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

25%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

25.1%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Leixões U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon U23 than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leixões U23 than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Sporting Lisbon U23 - Leixões U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Arthur Baggio ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
90+1', 1 - 1, Taibo Dominguez L. ⚽,
90+8', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 and 7).

Sporting U23 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Leixões U23 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sporting U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sporting U23 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting U23 won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 2.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting U23 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 3:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sporting CP U23	7	4	3	0	15:9	6	15
15	Leixoes U23	7	1	3	3	12:12	0	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
21.02.26	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Santa Clara U23	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Benfica U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	4:2 ✺
10.02.26	Leixões U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Torreense U23	1:2 ✺
26.01.26	Braga U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTLT
- Leixões U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
25.02.26	Leixões U23 - Académico de Viseu U23	2:2 ✺
16.02.26	Santa Clara U23 - Leixões U23	1:0 ✺
10.02.26	Leixões U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Leixões U23 - Benfica U23	2:5 ✺
26.01.26	Torreense U23 - Leixões U23	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
10.02.26	Leixões U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	2:2
05.03.23	Leixões U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	1:1
24.01.23	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Leixões U23	5:4
04.01.20	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Leixões U23	1:0
19.09.19	Leixões U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	1:2

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