Match Info

Date: 19 February 2022, Saturday


	Sporting Lisbon U23		Vitoria Guimarães U23

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.1
	2	3.4	3.1
	2.02	3.3	3.05
	1.92	3.66	3.52
	1.92	3.48	3.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.12)	3.43 ↑ (3.28)	3.27 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon U23
45.8%

Draw
26.5%

Vitoria Guimarães U23
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

27.8%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

18.7%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Vitoria Guimarães U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon U23 than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Lisbon U23 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães U23 than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitoria Guimarães U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sporting U23 won 1.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Sporting U23 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sporting U23 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sporting U23 won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Sporting U23 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
11.02.22	Vizela U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	3:0 ✺
07.02.22	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Belenenses U23	0:2 ✺
01.02.22	Famalicão U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	2:0 ✺
27.01.22	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Vizela U23	1:1 ✺
23.01.22	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Maritimo U23	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLTT
- Vitoria Guimarães U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
15.02.22	Vizela U23 - Vitoria Guimarães U23	1:1 ✺
10.02.22	Vitoria Guimarães U23 - Famalicão U23	1:2 ✺
05.02.22	Vitoria Guimarães U23 - Maritimo U23	1:5 ✺
01.02.22	Farense U23 - Vitoria Guimarães U23	2:0 ✺
26.01.22	Famalicão U23 - Vitoria Guimarães U23	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
11.01.22	Vitoria Guimarães U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	5:1
26.02.21	Vitoria Guimarães U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	1:1
21.01.21	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Vitoria Guimarães U23	2:2
03.12.19	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Vitoria Guimarães U23	0:1
23.08.19	Vitoria Guimarães U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	0:6
18.12.18	Vitoria Guimarães U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	0:2
15.09.18	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Vitoria Guimarães U23	0:4

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