The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sporting de Gijón 54.4%
Draw 25.2%
Albacete Balompié 20.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.3%
27.4%
27.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.4%
26.2%
28.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting de Gijón's performance.
Albacete Balompié has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Albacete Balompié might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-11%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting de Gijón that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Albacete Balompié could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Sporting de Gijón - Albacete Balompié Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting de Gijón: 45% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting de Gijón (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Yanez R. (G) 20. Vazquez K. 15. Vazquez P. 4. Perrin L. 5. Sanchez D. 24. Smith J. 6. Martin N. 17. Dubasin J. 10. Gelabert Pina C. 7. Campos G. (C) 19. Otero J.
13. Lizoain R. (G) 15. Gamez F. 5. Moreno J. 24. Vallejo J. 21. Neva C. 7. Puertas A. 8. Rodriguez R. (C) 17. Melendez A. 22. Morcillo J. 4. Agus Medina 10. Betancor J.
Substitutes
9. Caicedo J. 16. Cortes O. 18. Coundoul A. 3. Garcia P. 13. Joel C. (G) 22. Kembo Y. 21. Loum M. 28. Mbemba P. 32. Prendes E. O. 11. Queipo D.
26. Capi 19. Escriche D. 14. Garcia H. J. 3. Gomez J. 16. Lazo J. 2. Lorenzo 1. Marino D. (G) 23. Pepe 18. Villar J.
Coaches
Garitano A.
Gonzalez A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
7', Puertas A. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Dubasin J. ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, Gelabert Pina C. ⚽,
37', 3 - 0, Campos G. ⚽, Sanchez D. (A),
45+7', 3 - 1, Puertas A. ⚽, Melendez A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Melendez A. ↓, Lazo J. ↑,
53', Smith J. 🟨,
69', Betancor J. ↓, Escriche D. ↑,
70', Moreno J. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
70', Gamez F. ↓, Lorenzo ↑,
71', 3 - 2, Agus Medina ⚽, Lazo J. (A),
78', Otero J. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
78', Smith J. ↓, Queipo D. ↑,
79', Rodriguez R. ↓, Villar J. ↑,
86', Gelabert Pina C. ↓, Mbemba P. ↑,
86', Campos G. ↓, Coundoul A. ↑,
88', 3 - 3, Morcillo J. ⚽, Puertas A. (A),
90+5', Vazquez K. ↓, Loum M. ↑,
90+9', 3 - 4, Morcillo J. (Pen),
90+10', Morcillo J. 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 2.
In recent matches, Sporting de Gijón has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Albacete's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Albacete may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Sporting de Gijón will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Bernal J.
(Injury)
Corredera A.
(Red Card)
Coundoul A.
(Injury)
Curbelo E.
(Injury)
Loum M.
(Injury)
Rosas G.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Albacete: Marin H.
(Red Card)
Pacheco A.
(Elbow Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Sporting de Gijón won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Sporting de Gijón - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 45.33%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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Venezuela
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Yanez R. (G) 
Perrin L. 
Smith J. 
Dubasin J. 
Otero J. 
Caicedo J. 
Coundoul A. 
Joel C. (G) 
Mbemba P. 
Gomez J. 
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