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Current Win Probability
Sporting de Gijón 47.3%
Draw 27.9%
Albacete Balompié 24.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.1%
26.6%
24.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.7%
22.6%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting de Gijón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Albacete Balompié has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting de Gijón that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Sporting de Gijón - Albacete Balompié Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting de Gijón (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Sporting de Gijón will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Yanez R. (C) 2. Rosas G. 4. Gularte E. 23. Saenz J. 44. Cuenca A. 10. Gelabert Pina C. 8. Rodriguez M. 14. Corredera A. 7. Campos G. 16. Sarco A. 27. Prendes E.
13. Marino D. (G) 24. Vallejo J. 22. Lopez L. (C) 21. Neva C. 17. Corpas J. 14. San Bartolome V. 6. Pacheco A. 18. Ortuno S. 27. Bernabeu D. 19. Rubio A. 11. Valverde V.
Substitutes
13. Arana E. (G) 35. Ferreres C. 3. Garcia P. 22. Guillamon H. 21. Loum M. 26. Martinez I. 6. Martin N. 34. Matabuena D. 19. Otero J. 36. Rubio B. 5. Sanchez D. 15. Vazquez P.
4. Agus Medina 32. Albarracin A. 44. Antonio David 10. Gonzalez R. 40. Jota Domingo 2. Lorenzo 1. Marin C. (G) 12. Marin H. 30. Ramos M. (G) 9. Soberon M. 28. Velilla A. 8. Villar J.
Coaches
Larcamon N.
Etxeberria J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Sarco A. ⚽, Corredera A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Rubio A. ↓, Marin H. ↑,
57', San Bartolome V. ↓, Agus Medina ↑,
63', Gularte E. 🟨,
70', Rodriguez M. ↓, Guillamon H. ↑,
70', Prendes E. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
74', Bernabeu D. ↓, Soberon M. ↑,
78', Sarco A. ↓, Otero J. ↑,
78', Campos G. ↓, Rubio B. ↑,
78', Pacheco A. ↓, Villar J. ↑,
80', Guillamon H. 🟨,
83', Garcia P. 🟨,
86', 1 - 1, Vallejo J. ⚽, Valverde V. (A),
88', Larcamon N. 🟨,
90+4', Marino D. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 1, Gelabert Pina C. ⚽, Garcia P. (A),
90+7', Marin H. 🟨,
Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 6th in the Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Playoffs - Semi - finals) and 22nd in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 1.
In recent outings, Sporting de Gijón has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Albacete is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Albacete may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Sporting de Gijón holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Sporting de Gijón: Casas A.
(Injury)
Ferrari A.
(Leg Injury)
Iosifov N.
(Muscle Injury)
de la Fuente K.
(Injury).
Confirmed absences for Albacete: Gamez F.
(Injury)
Moreno J.
(Knee Injury)
Munir El Haddadi
(Injury)
Obeng S.
(Injury)
Pepe
(Injury)
Puertas A.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Sporting de Gijón: Dunabeitia A.
(Injury)
Martin N.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Albacete: Capi
(Injury)
Lorenzo
(Muscle Injury).
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Sporting de Gijón has recorded 6 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:25 (averaging 1.5:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sporting de Gijón against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 13:13 goals (averaging 1.4:1.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Gijon
11
6
1
4
11:13
-2
19
22
Albacete
11
1
1
9
8:22
-14
4
Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now
Gijon: 3.92% Albacete: 0.07%
Last Results with these Odds
Albacete Balompié - the odds 3.85 are the expected chance of winning is 24.29%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.