Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 16

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio El Molinón (Gijón)

Referee: Ojaos A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Venezuela	Disney+


	Sporting de Gijón		FC Andorra

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.88	3.3	4.05	Watch
	1.9	3.42	4.55
	2.04	3.31	3.75	Watch
	1.86	3.5	4.55	Watch
	1.86	3.25	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.04)	3.36 ↑ (3.31)	4.27 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting de Gijón
49.9%

Draw
28%

FC Andorra
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

28.5%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

27.8%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

FC Andorra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Andorra than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Sporting de Gijón - FC Andorra Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Andorra will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting de Gijón: 46.5% – 86.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting de Gijón (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Andorra (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Sporting de Gijón (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting de Gijón (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Andorra (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yanez R. (G) 2. Rosas G. 23. Curbelo E. 4. Perrin L. 5. Sanchez D. 6. Martin N. 14. Corredera A. 11. Queipo D. 10. Gelabert Pina C. 7. Campos G. 19. Otero J.	25. Yaakobishvili A. (G) 17. Carrique T. 4. Alonso G. 5. Bombardo Poyato M. 20. Vila M. 10. Alvaro 14. Molina S. 6. Villahermosa D. 9. Nieto M. 11. Lauti 29. Kim M.
Substitutes
8. Bernal J. 9. Caicedo J. 16. Cortes O. 18. Coundoul A. 34. Garcia A. D. 13. Joel C. (G) 22. Kembo Y. 29. Lozano A. 36. Rodriguez M. 24. Smith J. 20. Vazquez K. 15. Vazquez P.	8. Akman E. 23. Alende D. 7. Calvo A. 21. Cerda J. 18. Domenech M. 19. Garcia I. 16. Jastin G. 24. Le Normand T. 15. Olabarrieta A. 13. Owono J. (G) 22. Uzkudun A. 12. Yaakobishvili A.
Coaches
Jimenez B.	Manso C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Campos G. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Yaakobishvili A. 🟨,
55', Vila M. ↓, Garcia I. ↑,
65', Kim M. ↓, Jastin G. ↑,
66', Alvaro ↓, Domenech M. ↑,
72', Smith J. 🟨,
76', Domenech M. 🟨,
76', Queipo D. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
80', 0 - 1, Lauti ⚽,
82', Martin N. ↓, Coundoul A. ↑,
82', Otero J. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
82', Sanchez D. 🟨,
86', Lauti ↓, Le Normand T. ↑,
86', Bombardo Poyato M. ↓, Alende D. ↑,
86', Nieto M. 🟨,
90', Corredera A. 🟨,
90+10', 1 - 1, Gelabert Pina C. (Pen),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Sporting de Gijón will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Garcia P. (Injury) Loum M. (Injury) Vazquez K. (Injury)

There will not play in Andorra: Merquelanz M. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting de Gijón won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 4.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Sporting de Gijón - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 46.29%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2
23.11.25	Huesca - Sporting de Gijón	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Sporting de Gijón - Eibar	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Mirandés - Sporting de Gijón	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Sporting de Gijón - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Caudal Deportivo - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTLTW
- FC Andorra
Spanish LaLiga2
22.11.25	FC Andorra - Castellón	1:3 ✺
15.11.25	Albacete Balompié - FC Andorra	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Huesca - FC Andorra	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	FC Andorra - Cádiz	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Egüés - FC Andorra	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
11.05.24	Sporting de Gijón - FC Andorra	5:2
23.09.23	FC Andorra - Sporting de Gijón	0:0
19.02.23	FC Andorra - Sporting de Gijón	1:0
20.08.22	Sporting de Gijón - FC Andorra	4:1

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