Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 1

Date: 18 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Molinón (Gijón)

Referee: Guzman Mansilla J. L. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Austria	DAZN Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3, Moja TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Sportbox.ru
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+ 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Amazon Prime Video, Disney+, LaLiga+ app


	Sporting de Gijón		Levante

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.2	3	3.25
	2.25	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.31	3.17	3.57
	2.24	3.17	3.48	Watch
	1.95	3.2	4
	2.26	3.18	3.41	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.97)	3.14 ↓ (3.16)	3.45 ↓ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting de Gijón
42.6%

Draw
30%

Levante
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

29.5%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

32.1%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting de Gijón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting de Gijón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levante than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Levante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	13.3%	13.3%

Sporting de Gijón - Levante Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Levante will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting de Gijón: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yanez R. (G) 2. Rosas G. 23. Curbelo E. 22. Sanchez D. 3. Cote 10. Mendez N. 14. Olaetxea L. 8. Bernal J. 19. Otero J. 17. Dubasin J. 7. Campos G.	1. Fernandez A. (G) 2. Garcia A. 5. Elgezabal U. 14. Cabello J. 29. Navarro M. 6. Kochorashvili G. 20. Rey O. 7. Brugue R. 24. Alvarez C. 11. Morales J. L. (C) 22. Bouldini M.
Substitutes
11. Campuzano V. 5. Garcia P. 13. Joel C. (G) 29. Kembo Y. 30. Lozano A. 34. Lozano E. 26. Martinez I. 6. Martin N. 27. Oyon A. 9. Queipo D.	8. Algobia A. 17. Clemente O. 34. Cortina B. 4. Dela 38. Espi C. 30. Fernandez V. 21. Lozano S. 32. Primo A. (G) 9. Romero I. 26. Selles D. 31. Xavi Grande
Coaches
Albes R.	Calero J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Alvarez C. ⚽, Garcia A. (A),
28', Mendez N. ↓, Martin N. ↑,
40', Olaetxea L. 🟨,
42', 0 - 2, Kochorashvili G. ⚽,
44', Elgezabal U. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Cote 🟨,
59', 1 - 2, Dubasin J. ⚽, Cote (A),
63', Bouldini M. ↓, Romero I. ↑,
63', Alvarez C. ↓, Algobia A. ↑,
69', Bernal J. ↓, Queipo D. ↑,
76', Morales J. L. ↓, Lozano S. ↑,
78', Dubasin J. ↓, Campuzano V. ↑,
80', Navarro M. 🟨,
81', Navarro M. ↓, Dela ↑,
85', Brugue R. ↓, Espi C. ↑,
87', Cote ↓, Garcia P. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sporting de Gijón won 0.

Recent matches Sporting de Gijón is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Levante is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Sporting de Gijón have a series of guest games.

Sporting de Gijón will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sporting de Gijón won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Sporting de Gijón won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting de Gijón
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Racing Santander - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
07.08.24	Lugo - Sporting de Gijón	0:0 ✺
03.08.24	Eibar - Sporting de Gijón	1:2 ✺
31.07.24	Sporting de Gijón - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
23.07.24	Celta de Vigo - Sporting de Gijón	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TTWTL
- Levante UD
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Elche - Levante	0:1 ✺
09.08.24	Levante - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
03.08.24	Levante - Villarreal B	3:2 ✺
31.07.24	Valencia - Levante	0:0 ✺
27.07.24	Deportivo Alavés - Levante	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
10.03.24	Levante - Sporting de Gijón	1:0
09.12.23	Sporting de Gijón - Levante	0:0
06.01.23	Sporting de Gijón - Levante	1:1
31.10.22	Levante - Sporting de Gijón	1:0
Spanish LaLiga
04.04.16	Levante - Sporting de Gijón	0:0
22.11.15	Sporting de Gijón - Levante	0:3
11.04.12	Sporting de Gijón - Levante	3:2

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