Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 4

Date: 7 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Molinón (Gijón)

Referee: Orellana M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3, Moja TV
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Nigeria	Sporty TV
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Portugal	DAZN 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Sportbox.ru
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+, LaLiga+ app


	Sporting de Gijón		Real Oviedo

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.2	3.2	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3.2
	2.3	3	3.3	Watch
	2.43	3.02	3.49
	2.41	2.87	3.5	Watch
	2.25	3	3.3
	2.36	3.04	3.34	Watch
	2.3	3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.35)	3 ↓ (3.04)	3.33 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting de Gijón
40.4%

Draw
31.3%

Real Oviedo
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

31.3%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

29%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting de Gijón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Real Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	46.2%	7.7%

Sporting de Gijón - Real Oviedo Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Oviedo will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting de Gijón: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yanez R. (G) 23. Curbelo E. 14. Olaetxea L. 22. Sanchez D. 2. Rosas G. 10. Mendez N. 8. Bernal J. 3. Cote 17. Dubasin J. 7. Campos G. 19. Otero J.	13. Escandell A. (G) 15. Luengo O. 4. Costas D. 12. Calvo D. 3. Alhassane R. 23. Hassan H. 5. del Moral A. 8. Cazorla S. 16. Chaira I. 7. Moyano F. 9. Alemao
Substitutes
11. Campuzano V. 5. Garcia P. 18. Gelabert Pina C. 13. Joel C. (G) 29. Kembo Y. 34. Lozano E. 26. Martinez I. 6. Martin N. 27. Oyon A. 4. Pier R. 9. Queipo D. 20. Vazquez K.	24. Ahijado L. 1. Braat Q. (G) 27. Cardero A. 11. Colombatto S. 18. de la Fuente P. 22. Dotor C. 2. Lemos A. 17. Masca 14. Paraschiv D. 21. Pomares C. 20. Seoane J. 6. Sibo K.
Coaches
Albes R.	Calleja J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', Colombatto S. 🟨,
9', Curbelo E. 🟨,
17', Costas D. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Otero J. (Pen),
31', Rosas G. 🟨,
38', 2 - 0, Cote ⚽,
42', Sanchez D. ↓, Martin N. ↑,
45+2', Pomares C. 🟨,
45+5', Cote 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ahijado L. ↓, Lemos A. ↑,
46', Moyano F. ↓, Hassan H. ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Chaira I. ⚽, Alemao (A),
66', Dubasin J. ↓, Queipo D. ↑,
66', Mendez N. ↓, Gelabert Pina C. ↑,
66', del Moral A. ↓, Seoane J. ↑,
75', Chaira I. ↓, de la Fuente P. ↑,
75', Rosas G. ↓, Vazquez K. ↑,
75', Otero J. ↓, Campuzano V. ↑,
76', 3 - 1, Campuzano V. ⚽, Vazquez K. (A),
79', Cazorla S. ↓, Paraschiv D. ↑,
87', Campuzano V. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sporting de Gijón won 1.

Recent matches Sporting de Gijón is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Oviedo is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sporting de Gijón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sporting de Gijón will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Sporting de Gijón won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 7-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Sporting de Gijón won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2
31.08.24	Almería - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Sporting de Gijón - Eldense	0:0 ✺
18.08.24	Sporting de Gijón - Levante	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Racing Santander - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
07.08.24	Lugo - Sporting de Gijón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTLTT
- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2
30.08.24	Real Oviedo - Racing Santander	1:3 ✺
25.08.24	Castellón - Real Oviedo	0:0 ✺
17.08.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Real Oviedo	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.24	Leganés - Real Oviedo	2:1 ✺
03.08.24	Real Oviedo - Racing Santander	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
10.02.24	Sporting de Gijón - Real Oviedo	1:0
09.09.23	Real Oviedo - Sporting de Gijón	0:0
13.05.23	Sporting de Gijón - Real Oviedo	1:1
17.12.22	Real Oviedo - Sporting de Gijón	1:0
16.04.22	Sporting de Gijón - Real Oviedo	0:1
09.10.21	Real Oviedo - Sporting de Gijón	1:1
17.04.21	Sporting de Gijón - Real Oviedo	0:1

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