The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Oviedo 31.1%
Draw 33.5%
Las Palmas 35.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.7%
33.2%
36.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.5%
34.6%
37.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
13.2%
39.6%
47.2%
Real Oviedo - Las Palmas Predictions
Users Predictions:
53 users predict this event. Oviedo will win (votes: 7 - 13.2%). Las Palmas will win (votes: 25 - 47.2%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 39.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 33.8% – 60.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).
Oviedo has the most likely position - 13 (7.56%), has project points - 56, has currently - 23, has a small chance of relegated (9%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (13%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Las Palmas has the most likely position - 1 (27.41%), has project points - 73, has currently - 34, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (38%), has a good chance of promoted (54%), has a chance of win league (27%).
This event has quality38, importance45, match rating41. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 2.
Oviedo in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Las Palmas is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Oviedo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Oviedo won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.