Match Info
Division Intermedia - Round 9Date: 25 May 2026, MondayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Paraguay | Tigo Sports+ |
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Sportivo Carapeguá |
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Atlético Tembetary |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.48 |
3 |
2.68 |
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 |
2.39 |
3.1 |
2.74 |
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 |
2.55 |
3.05 |
2.85 |
 Watch |
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2.5 |
2.88 |
2.75 |
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 |
2.41 |
3 |
2.74 |
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 |
2.62 |
2.9 |
2.2 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↓
(2.84) |
2.99 ↓
(3.17) |
2.66 ↑
(2.44) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sportivo Carapeguá
36.1% | Draw
30.1% | Atlético Tembetary
33.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Carapeguá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Atlético Tembetary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Carapeguá than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tembetary than the current prediction. (+4.6%)Sportivo Carapeguá - Atlético Tembetary Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Carapeguá will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tembetary will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tembetary: 50.6% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tembetary (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, Barrios J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 6).Carapeguá is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Tembetary has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Tembetary may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carapeguá won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Carapeguá won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Sp. Carapegua | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 39 |
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| 9 | Atl. Tembetary | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 39:42 | -3 | 36 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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