Match Info
Division Intermedia - Round 23Date: 10 September 2026, ThursdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
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Sportivo Carapeguá |
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Benjamín Aceval |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.10 |
3.30 |
2.00 |
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2.95 |
3.30 |
2.05 |
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3.28 |
3.50 |
2.00 |
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3.22 |
3.58 |
2.08 |
 Watch |
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3.00 |
3.30 |
2.03 |
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3.17 |
3.36 |
2.05 |
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3.00 |
3.25 |
2.09 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.1 ↓
(3.64) |
3.37 ↓
(3.6) |
2.04 ↑
(1.86) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sportivo Carapeguá
29.1% | Draw
26.8% | Benjamín Aceval
44.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Carapeguá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Benjamín Aceval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Benjamín Aceval might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Carapeguá than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benjamín Aceval than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benjamín Aceval could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Sportivo Carapeguá - Benjamín Aceval Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 56', 1 - 0, Bobadilla J. ⚽,
- 61', 2 - 0, Verdun M. ⚽,
- 80', (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+5', 🟥,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4).Carapeguá has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Benjamín Aceval's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). Benjamín Aceval will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carapeguá won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Benjamin Aceval | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 42:35 | 7 | 42 |
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| 7 | Sp. Carapegua | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 39 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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