Match Info

Copa Paraguay - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Municipal de Carapegua (Carapegua)

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports+


	Paraguarí		Sportivo Luqueño

	1	X	2
	5.00	3.75	1.53
	10.5	5.35	1.19	Watch
	9.8	5.5	1.23
	7.57	4.58	1.36	Watch
	10	5.35	1.18
	9.85	6.09	1.25	Watch
	10	5.4	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.96 ↑ (5.22)	5.15 ↑ (4.01)	1.28 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paraguarí
10.2%

Draw
17.8%

Sportivo Luqueño
71.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

23%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

20.9%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paraguarí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paraguarí's form might have worsened.

Sportivo Luqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sportivo Luqueño's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paraguarí than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paraguarí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (-18%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sportivo Luqueño, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Paraguarí - Sportivo Luqueño Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sportivo Luqueño (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Sportivo Luqueño (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sportivo Luqueño (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', 0 - 1, Maggi I. ⚽,
89', 0 - 2, Perez M. ⚽,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Sportivo Luqueño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sportivo Luqueño is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paraguarí AC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
15.08.26	Paraguarí - Sol de América	1:1 ✺
03.08.26	Paraguarí - Deportivo Capiatá	2:1 ✺
24.07.26	Deportivo Santaní - Paraguarí	2:0 ✺
18.07.26	Paraguarí - Independiente Asuncion	3:2 ✺
10.07.26	Fernando de la Mora - Paraguarí	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TWLWT
- Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.08.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion	1:2 ✺
09.08.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Sportivo Luqueño	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Luqueño	3:0 ✺
29.07.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo Trinidense	1:4 ✺
26.07.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWLLW

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