The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sportivo Dock Sud 28.4%
Draw 33.3%
Sportivo Italiano 38.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.8%
32.8%
37.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.2%
32.1%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Dock Sud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Sportivo Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Dock Sud than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
The ML Model estimate for Sportivo Italiano aligns with the current prediction.
Sportivo Dock Sud - Sportivo Italiano Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tello T. (G) 3. Barreiro A. 5. Desposito P. 11. Ghigliazza K. 10. Gomez G. 6. Lopez N. 2. Meza F. 8. Otero F. 7. Villalba B. 4. Villarreal S. 9. Vivas S.
1. Yordan G. (G) 3. Daivez A. 7. De Cuadro J. 4. Di Massimo F. 8. Gimenez K. 10. Gomez F. 9. Guzman M. 11. Laborda L. 2. Merzario E. 6. Ordonez C. 5. Rivero J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
29', 0 - 1, Guzman M. ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, Cenci B. ⚽,
38', Merzario E. 🟨,
43', Meza F. 🟨,
45', Desposito P. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Guerra A. ↓, Centurion F. ↑,
64', Bifiguer C. 🟨,
65', Gomez F. ↓, Zurita A. ↑,
65', Cenci B. ↓, Fortino R. ↑,
73', 0 - 3, Centurion F. ⚽,
73', Otero F. ↓, Arias A. ↑,
73', Barreiro A. ↓, Dameno A. ↑,
76', 1 - 3, Ghigliazza K. ⚽,
76', Guzman M. ↓, Landaburu M. ↑,
76', Merzario E. ↓, Durante P. ↑,
84', Durante P. 🟨,
90+2', Vivas S. ↓, Cano R. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dock Sud won 2.
In recent matches, Dock Sud has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Sportivo Italiano is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Sportivo Italiano might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Dock Sud won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.3:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Dock Sud won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Sportivo Italiano
38
18
11
9
45:28
17
65
12
Dock Sud
38
11
14
13
40:42
-2
47
Last Results with these Odds
Sportivo Italiano - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.46%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.