The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sportivo Dock Sud 36.3%
Draw 34.9%
Villa San Carlos 28.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40%
31.3%
28.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.4%
29.5%
27.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Dock Sud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
The chances for Villa San Carlos have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Dock Sud than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Dock Sud, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa San Carlos than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
45.5%
36.4%
Sportivo Dock Sud - Villa San Carlos Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Dock Sud will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Villa San Carlos will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tello T. (G) 3. Barreiro A. 5. Desposito P. 11. Ghigliazza K. 10. Gomez G. 6. Lopez N. 2. Meza F. 8. Otero F. 7. Villalba B. 4. Villarreal S. 9. Vivas S.
1. Bangardino P. (G) 5. Acosta A. 4. Farias F. 3. Flores S. 7. Lugones A. 2. Machin L. 11. Melillo E. 8. Mussis F. 6. Ojeda F. 9. Salinas R. 10. Villagra J.
Substitutes
14. Alvarez I. 19. Arias A. 12. Cuenca E. (G) 16. Gastaldi M. 13. Gauna M. 15. Gualtieri G. 20. Nicolaievsky F. 17. Perez R. 18. Villordo T.
13. Almeida A. 16. Alvarez R. 14. Fabi S. 12. Gonzalez L. 17. Pavia K. 18. Plastino M. 15. Ponton A. 20. Zegarra Z.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Otero F. ⚽,
30', Otero F. 🟨,
45', Villagra J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Desposito P. 🟨,
56', 2 - 0, Gomez G. ⚽,
58', Melillo E. 🟨,
59', Farias F. ↓, Pavia K. ↑,
59', Villagra J. ↓, Zegarra Z. ↑,
61', Gomez G. ↓, Nicolaievsky F. ↑,
69', Villarreal S. 🟨,
71', Vivas S. ↓, Villordo T. ↑,
79', Mussis F. 🟨,
80', Acosta A. ↓, Ponton A. ↑,
83', Villalba B. 🟨,
90+1', Ghigliazza K. ↓, Perez R. ↑,
90+1', Desposito P. ↓, Gualtieri G. ↑,
90+1', Otero F. ↓, Alvarez I. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dock Sud won 2.
Dock Sud is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Villa San Carlos has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Villa San Carlos has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Dock Sud won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.6:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Dock Sud won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 1.8:1.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Dock Sud
38
11
14
13
40:42
-2
47
13
Villa San Carlos
39
11
14
14
37:43
-6
47
Last Results with these Odds
Villa San Carlos - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 28.68%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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