Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA C - ROUND 31

Date: 19 August 2023, Saturday


	Sportivo Italiano		Club Luján

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.65	3.4
	2.3	2.7	3.4
	2.31	2.71	3.46
	2.26	2.86	3.4	Watch
	2.25	2.75	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.07)	2.73 ↓ (2.82)	3.42 ↓ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Italiano
40.2%

Draw
33.3%

Club Luján
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

32.6%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

31.5%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Club Luján has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Italiano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Luján than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Sportivo Italiano - Club Luján Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sportivo Italiano won 1.

Sportivo Italiano is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Club Luján is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sportivo Italiano will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Sportivo Italiano to win the game is with odds 2.26.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Sportivo Italiano won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Italiano won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Italiano
Argentinian Primera C
05.08.23	Real Pilar - Sportivo Italiano	1:1 ✺
30.07.23	Sportivo Italiano - Liniers	1:0 ✺
24.07.23	Central Córdoba de Rosario - Sportivo Italiano	0:0 ✺
19.07.23	Sportivo Italiano - Justo José de Urquiza	2:1 ✺
14.07.23	General Lamadrid - Sportivo Italiano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWTWW
- Club Luján
Argentinian Primera C
05.08.23	Club Luján - Berazategui	1:1 ✺
23.07.23	Real Pilar - Club Luján	1:0 ✺
19.07.23	Club Luján - Liniers	0:1 ✺
14.07.23	Central Córdoba de Rosario - Club Luján	1:1 ✺
08.07.23	Club Luján - Justo José de Urquiza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
08.04.23	Club Luján - Sportivo Italiano	0:0
16.07.22	Sportivo Italiano - Club Luján	0:0
13.03.22	Club Luján - Sportivo Italiano	0:0
25.07.21	Club Luján - Sportivo Italiano	0:1
07.03.21	Sportivo Italiano - Club Luján	2:2
10.02.20	Sportivo Italiano - Club Luján	2:0
19.08.19	Club Luján - Sportivo Italiano	2:2

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