Match Info

Date: 21 August 2021, Saturday


	Sportivo Iteño		Independiente Asuncion

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.85	2.5
	2.33	3	2.9
	2.7	2.85	2.55
	2.82	2.92	2.63
	2.7	2.75	2.7
	2.76	2.94	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.5)	2.89 ↑ (2.86)	2.65 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Iteño
34.1%

Draw
31.5%

Independiente Asuncion
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

31.5%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

23.5%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Iteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Independiente Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Iteño than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sportivo Iteño that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Asuncion than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Asuncion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura)).

Sportivo Iteño is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Independiente Asuncion is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Independiente Asuncion have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sportivo Iteño won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Iteño won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Iteño
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
15.08.21	Resistencia - Sportivo Iteño	4:0 ✺
08.08.21	Sportivo Iteño - Fernando de la Mora	0:0 ✺
01.08.21	2 de Mayo - Sportivo Iteño	1:1 ✺
25.07.21	Sportivo Iteño - Sportivo Trinidense	0:2 ✺
21.07.21	Atyrá - Sportivo Iteño	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTTLT
- Independiente Asuncion
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
16.08.21	Independiente Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	1:0 ✺
08.08.21	Deportivo Santaní - Independiente Asuncion	3:1 ✺
01.08.21	Independiente Asuncion - Guaraní de Trinidad	0:0 ✺
22.07.21	Independiente Asuncion - Club General Díaz	1:0 ✺
11.07.21	Independiente Asuncion - Resistencia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
17.05.21	Independiente Asuncion - Sportivo Iteño	3:0
16.06.19	Sportivo Iteño - Independiente Asuncion	0:0

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