Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 22

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday


	Independiente Asuncion		Resistencia

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.35
	2.98	3	2.28
	2.91	3.03	2.31
	1.70	3.82	4.46	Watch
	2.88	3	2.3
	3.06	3.16	2.34
	2.36	3.35	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.29)	3.21 ↓ (3.29)	2.69 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Asuncion
35.5%

Draw
29.4%

Resistencia
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

27.5%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

28.8%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Resistencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Asuncion than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Resistencia than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Independiente Asuncion - Resistencia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Doldan J. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Benitez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 1 - 2, Benitez M. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 8).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Independiente FBC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Independiente FBC won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Independiente FBC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Asuncion
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
09.08.25	Guaireña - Independiente Asuncion	4:2 ✺
03.08.25	Independiente Asuncion - Sportivo Carapeguá	3:3 ✺
28.07.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Independiente Asuncion	3:1 ✺
19.07.25	Sol de América - Independiente Asuncion	0:2 ✺
11.07.25	Independiente Asuncion - Fernando de la Mora	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTLWW
- Resistencia SC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
11.08.25	Resistencia - Sol de América	3:2 ✺
04.08.25	Fernando de la Mora - Resistencia	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Resistencia - Encarnación	2:2 ✺
19.07.25	12 de Junio - Resistencia	2:2 ✺
11.07.25	Resistencia - Deportivo Capiatá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
10.05.25	Resistencia - Independiente Asuncion	3:1
03.09.24	Resistencia - Independiente Asuncion	1:1
26.10.21	Resistencia - Independiente Asuncion	0:0
11.07.21	Independiente Asuncion - Resistencia	0:1

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