The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sportivo Las Parejas 46.1%
Draw 35.3%
Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo 18.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49%
28.6%
22.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.5%
28.3%
22.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Las Parejas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Las Parejas than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Sportivo Las Parejas - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. San Juan F. (G) 2. Fissore M. 9. Gonzalez I. 8. Maciel A. 7. Martinez A. 10. Rolon L. 6. Schmidt A. 11. Schonfeld G. 4. Taverna J. 5. Valenzuela J. 3. Zanoni A.
1. Vizgarra K. (G) 2. Avalos J. 5. Bacas T. 11. Bertacin J. 8. Cartechini J. 6. Gay F. 7. Luna E. 3. Pezzani F. 4. Ponce A. 10. Principiano L. 9. Roige E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Rolon L. (Penalty Awarded),
44', 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Ponce A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+2', 🟨,
Preview
First leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Las Parejas won 1.
Sportivo Las Parejas has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Def Belgrano VR has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Sportivo Las Parejas could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Sportivo Las Parejas for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Las Parejas has recorded 6 wins, 10 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:17 (averaging 1.1:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sportivo Las Parejas against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 15:10 goals (averaging 1.4:0.9 per game).