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Current Win Probability
Alvarado 61.1%
Draw 25.5%
Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo 13.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
70.7%
19.4%
9.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alvarado's form might have worsened.
Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
Alvarado - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bilbao E. (G) 11. Castellano A. 2. Centurion F. 9. Cervera G. 4. Chiozza L. 5. Federico T. 6. Fernandez T. 3. Gorgerino C. 10. Gutierrez S. 8. Mansilla M. 7. Perez M.
1. Vizgarra K. (G) 2. Avalos J. 5. Bacas T. 11. Bertacin J. 8. Cartechini J. 6. Gay F. 7. Luna E. 3. Pezzani F. 4. Ponce A. 10. Principiano L. 9. Roige E.
Substitutes
13. Berra T. 15. Hofstetter P. J. 16. Makarte R. 20. Melean A. 14. Nunez L. 17. Pinoni F. 19. Sosa G. 18. Speck N. 12. Zapata A. (G)
13. Cabrera U. 15. Gaitan L. 20. Latof B. 16. Medina G. 18. Olego M. 14. Ramos M. 19. Rodriguez A. 17. Rodriguez J. 12. Santia J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
71', 1 - 0, Sosa G. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 0, Sosa G. ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 2-2.
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Torneo Federal Playoffs and 4th in the Promotion - Torneo Federal Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alvarado won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
The betting markets point to Alvarado as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Alvarado has recorded 1 win, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:6 (averaging 0.4:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Alvarado against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals (averaging 0.5:0.3 per game).