Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 6

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: El Coloso (Rafaela)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	9 de Julio		Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo

	1	X	2
	1.60	3.30	5.25
	1.64	3.35	4.80	Watch
	1.65	3.20	5.19
	1.59	3.48	5.88	Watch
	1.62	3.15	5.10
	1.70	3.29	5.66
	1.60	3.30	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.58)	3.3 ↓ (3.55)	5.3 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

9 de Julio
55.5%

Draw
27.4%

Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

25.3%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

24.7%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

9 de Julio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Julio than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

9 de Julio - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zanoni M. (G)
10. Abondetto R.
4. Acuna S.
2. Androetto T.
8. Del Sole N.
11. Larrea L.
5. Salcedo A.
9. Troncoso L.
6. Uriona M.
3. Vanega A.
7. Varela S.
Substitutes
14. Bravo N.
15. Cabral J.
12. Cuevas L. (G)
13. Ferlini M.
18. Garcia F.
17. Luduena C.
16. Rouiller T.
19. Salvucci J.
20. Solari M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Troncoso L. ⚽,
18', 🟨,
31', 🟨,
40', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
79', 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 9 de Julio won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

9 de Julio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Def Belgrano VR has had a series of home games.

In this match, 9 de Julio is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, 9 de Julio won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, 9 de Julio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Argentinian Torneo Federal
23.08.26	General San Martín de Formosa - 9 de Julio	2:1 ✺
12.08.26	9 de Julio - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	1:0 ✺
07.08.26	Sportivo Belgrano - 9 de Julio	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	9 de Julio - Douglas Haig	0:0 ✺
26.07.26	Douglas Haig - 9 de Julio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWTTL
- Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
23.08.26	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	0:1 ✺
17.08.26	Sportivo Belgrano - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Douglas Haig	0:0 ✺
02.08.26	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Bartolomé Mitre	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
13.07.26	9 de Julio - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	1:2
10.05.26	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - 9 de Julio	0:0
18.05.25	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - 9 de Julio	0:1
16.03.25	9 de Julio - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	1:1
11.08.24	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - 9 de Julio	1:1
02.06.24	9 de Julio - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	0:2
07.04.24	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - 9 de Julio	2:0

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