Match Info

Date: 30 April 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Sportivo Peñarol		Independiente Chivilcoy

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Sportivo Peñarol
39.6%

Draw
31.6%

Independiente Chivilcoy
28.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.2%

32.8%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

31.9%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Peñarol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Independiente Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Peñarol than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Sportivo Peñarol is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Independiente Chivilcoy is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sportivo Peñarol will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sportivo Peñarol won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Peñarol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Peñarol
Argentinian Torneo Federal
24.04.22	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Sportivo Peñarol	5:0 ✺
17.04.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	1:0 ✺
09.04.22	Deportivo Camioneros - Sportivo Peñarol	2:1 ✺
02.04.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Desamparados	2:2 ✺
27.03.22	Cipolletti - Sportivo Peñarol	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLTT
- Independiente Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
24.04.22	Independiente Chivilcoy - Ferro Gen.Pico	0:0 ✺
17.04.22	Juventud Unida Universitario - Independiente Chivilcoy	2:0 ✺
10.04.22	Independiente Chivilcoy - CA Liniers	0:1 ✺
03.04.22	Círculo Deportivo - Independiente Chivilcoy	2:2 ✺
27.03.22	Independiente Chivilcoy - Argentino Monte Maíz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLTT

Argentinian Torneo Federal
08.08.21	Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Peñarol	0:1
11.04.21	Sportivo Peñarol - Independiente Chivilcoy	1:0

Sportivo Peñarol - Independiente Chivilcoy