Match Info

Date: 12 August 2022, Friday


	Sportivo Trinidense		Independiente Asuncion

	1	X	2
	1.93	3	3.7
	1.9	3.1	3.75
	2.07	3.05	3.35
	2.18	3.02	3.17
	2	3	3.6
	2.09	3.15	3.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.08)	3.05 ↑ (3)	3.48 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Trinidense
44.5%

Draw
29.6%

Independiente Asuncion
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

29.6%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

28.5%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Trinidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Independiente Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Asuncion than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	45.5%	36.4%

Sportivo Trinidense - Independiente Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sportivo Trinidense will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Independiente FBC will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura) and 6).

Sportivo Trinidense is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Independiente Asuncion is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Independiente Asuncion could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sportivo Trinidense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sportivo Trinidense won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Trinidense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Trinidense
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
07.08.22	Fernando de la Mora - Sportivo Trinidense	0:2 ✺
Copa Paraguay
02.08.22	Sportivo Trinidense - Guaireña	2:3 ✺
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
29.07.22	Sportivo Trinidense - 3 de Febrero	1:1 ✺
25.07.22	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo Trinidense	0:2 ✺
15.07.22	Sportivo Trinidense - River Plate Asunción	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLTWW
- Independiente Asuncion
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
08.08.22	Independiente Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	0:1 ✺
30.07.22	Martín Ledesma - Independiente Asuncion	0:0 ✺
22.07.22	Independiente Asuncion - Atyrá	1:2 ✺
18.07.22	Deportivo Santaní - Independiente Asuncion	0:1 ✺
10.07.22	Independiente Asuncion - Sportivo Iteño	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
06.05.22	Independiente Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense	1:1
02.10.21	Independiente Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense	0:0
25.10.19	Sportivo Trinidense - Independiente Asuncion	1:2
14.07.19	Independiente Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense	1:1

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