Match Info

PARAGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 22

Date: 29 November 2023, Wednesday


	Sportivo Trinidense		Guaireña

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.1	2.6
	2.5	3	2.5
	2.65	3.2	2.55	Watch
	2.74	3.26	2.78
	2.74	3.26	2.78
	2.5	3.25	2.45
	2.57	3.25	2.6
	2.4	3.2	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.06)	3.19 ↓ (3.31)	2.64 ↓ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Trinidense
35.8%

Draw
29.1%

Guaireña
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

28.1%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

27.6%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Trinidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportivo Trinidense's form might have worsened.

Guaireña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guaireña's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Trinidense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaireña than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guaireña, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Sportivo Trinidense - Guaireña Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sportivo Trinidense will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Guaireña will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guaireña: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Samudio V. (G) 2. Ruiz Diaz A. 5. Vera J. 15. Baez J. 14. Mendoza S. 18. Fernandez D. 6. Jorge J. 24. De la Cruz L. 35. Delvalle P. 11. Mana N. 10. Alvarez A.	28. Finochietto L. (G) 11. Martinez A. 6. Paniagua M. 17. Britez E. 16. Paiz J. 5. Gonzalez J. 37. Comas L. 33. Coronel P. 25. Camisassa B. 24. Aguilar J. 9. Verdun J.
Substitutes
7. Arce P. 21. Baez Mendoza R. 23. Benitez C. 9. Gimenez O. 1. Gonzalez Ojeda P. M. (G) 4. Lopez B. 13. Salcedo J.	10. Duarte C. 31. Franco Zayas A. F. 19. Godoy D. 7. Parzajuk K. 12. Servin C. (G) 20. Toledo R. 26. Vazquez O.
Coaches
Arrua J.	Ovelar H.

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 9 and 10).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sportivo Trinidense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Trinidense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Trinidense
Paraguayan Primera Division
25.11.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense	0:2 ✺
13.11.23	Sportivo Trinidense - Nacional Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Copa Paraguay
08.11.23	Sportivo Trinidense - Guaraní Asuncion	2:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
05.11.23	Tacuary - Sportivo Trinidense	1:0 ✺
02.11.23	Sportivo Trinidense - Libertad Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WTWLT
- Guaireña FC
Paraguayan Primera Division
23.11.23	Guaireña - Resistencia	4:1 ✺
11.11.23	General Caballero JLM - Guaireña	0:0 ✺
07.11.23	Guaireña - Sportivo Ameliano	2:2 ✺
03.11.23	Guaireña - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Guaireña	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
15.09.23	Guaireña - Sportivo Trinidense	2:0
22.04.23	Sportivo Trinidense - Guaireña	1:0
12.02.23	Guaireña - Sportivo Trinidense	1:1
Copa Paraguay
02.08.22	Sportivo Trinidense - Guaireña	2:3

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