Match Info

Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Martín Torres (Asunción)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Usa	Fanatiz


	Sportivo Trinidense		Rubio Ñu

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.05	3	3.25
	2.22	3	3.2	Watch
	2.35	3.05	3.38
	2.2	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.25
	2.21	3.16	3.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.14)	3.04 ↓ (3.2)	3.29 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Trinidense
41.5%

Draw
30.4%

Rubio Ñu
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

29.2%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

28.9%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Trinidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Rubio Ñu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rubio Ñu than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Sportivo Trinidense - Rubio Ñu Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sportivo Trinidense will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Samudio V. (G) 6. Canete A. 40. Da Silveira A. 30. Valdez B. (C) 14. Mendoza S. 5. Gauto N. 18. Romero F. 10. Mana N. 21. Viera G. 31. Morinigo A. 20. Gonzalez C.	22. Tales (G) 2. Ferreira R. 31. Blasi B. 4. Gonzalez J. 33. Alborno R. 40. Perez E. 20. Martinez F. 8. Rojas R. 35. Montiel L. 10. Mendieta W. (C) 21. Sarquis E.
Substitutes
24. Baruja F. 19. Cano Esteche A. B. 9. Gimenez O. 37. Gonzalez L. 28. Leguizamon B. 4. Melgarejo D. 25. Navarro A. (G) 29. Rayer T. 34. Roman Torales F. J. 2. Ruiz Diaz A. 3. Villalba D. 22. Zarza P.	5. Alvarez Benitez P. 30. Ayala P. 13. Cabanas V. 25. Fragueda F. (G) 36. Gimenez C. 11. Gimenez Delgado J. J. 27. Gomez S. 28. Leguizamon A. 38. Manzur G. 37. Roldan M. 23. Ruiz Diaz S. 18. Villagra C.
Coaches
Arrua J.	Morinigo G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Mendoza S. ⚽, Morinigo A. (A),
25', 2 - 0, Romero F. ⚽, Valdez B. (A),
27', 3 - 0, Morinigo A. ⚽, Romero F. (A),
30', Rojas R. 🟨,
40', Mendieta W. 🟨,
40', Da Silveira A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Montiel L. ↓, Leguizamon A. ↑,
46', Mendieta W. ↓, Ruiz Diaz S. ↑,
46', Gauto N. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
46', Mendoza S. ↓, Melgarejo D. ↑,
46', Mana N. 🟨,
63', Sarquis E. ↓, Villagra C. ↑,
63', Rojas R. ↓, Manzur G. ↑,
64', 4 - 0, Mana N. ⚽,
73', Mana N. ↓, Zarza P. ↑,
73', Gonzalez C. ↓, Cano Esteche A. B. ↑,
78', Alborno R. ↓, Gimenez C. ↑,
83', Romero F. ↓, Gimenez O. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Trinidense won 2.

Recent performances by Sportivo Trinidense have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rubio Ñu's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sportivo Trinidense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Trinidense won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Trinidense won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sportivo Trinidense	13	7	2	4	23:13	10	23
10	Rubio Nu	13	3	3	7	15:24	-9	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Trinidense
Paraguayan Primera Division
01.04.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Olimpia Asuncion	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense	0:0 ✺
23.03.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Deportivo Recoleta	3:2 ✺
19.03.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Trinidense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WTWTL
- Rubio Ñu
Paraguayan Primera Division
01.04.26	Rubio Ñu - Guaraní Asuncion	0:2 ✺
26.03.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Rubio Ñu	1:0 ✺
23.03.26	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo Ameliano	1:2 ✺
18.03.26	Rubio Ñu - Cerro Porteño	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Nacional Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
07.02.26	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo Trinidense	0:1
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
25.07.22	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo Trinidense	0:2
18.04.22	Sportivo Trinidense - Rubio Ñu	0:0
21.07.21	Sportivo Trinidense - Rubio Ñu	2:2
Paraguayan Primera Division
04.12.17	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo Trinidense	1:0
22.09.17	Sportivo Trinidense - Rubio Ñu	0:1
22.04.17	Sportivo Trinidense - Rubio Ñu	3:3

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