The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
IJsselmeervogels 37.9%
Draw 25.1%
Excelsior Maassluis 37%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.6%
26.4%
32.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43%
25.5%
31.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
IJsselmeervogels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Excelsior Maassluis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for IJsselmeervogels than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for IJsselmeervogels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Maassluis than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Excelsior Maassluis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
20. Kaarsgaren B. (G) 2. van de Groep G. 22. Schuurman J. (C) 27. Mattheij J. 77. Kuisch G. 33. Van Bohemen C. 10. Dkidak A. 14. Ruizendaal J. 24. Robertha G. 26. Campman B. 9. Beers J.
1. Van der Kleij T. (G) 12. Riley B. 3. Ringeling K. (C) 4. Heuvelman D. 8. Udenhout J. 6. van Eerden J. 10. Madi A. 30. Hamd Y. 17. Slagveer D. 27. Plank D. 11. Tavares Q.
Substitutes
8. Butter N. 11. Hardijk M. 19. Ignacio R. 28. Janssen J. 29. Martis B. 7. Scholten S. 25. Stiemer D. (G)
20. Boukhari H. 16. El Fakiri K. (G) 24. Lopes Varela D. 21. Nagtegaal N. 29. Smits S. 14. Verbont J. 9. Wennekers B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Kuisch G. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Van Bohemen C. ⚽, Beers J. (A),
35', Campman B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hamd Y. ↓, Lopes Varela D. ↑,
50', Madi A. 🟨,
59', Heuvelman D. 🟨,
67', Udenhout J. ↓, Verbont J. ↑,
67', Tavares Q. ↓, Nagtegaal N. ↑,
67', Plank D. ↓, Wennekers B. ↑,
75', van de Groep G. ↓, Martis B. ↑,
84', Beers J. ↓, Ignacio R. ↑,
84', Ruizendaal J. ↓, Butter N. ↑,
90+1', Mattheij J. 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
91', Robertha G. ↓, Hardijk M. ↑,
95', Mattheij J. ↓, Janssen J. ↑,
103', 2 - 0, Kuisch G. ⚽, Dkidak A. (A),
103', Wennekers B. 🟨,
105', van Eerden J. ↓, Smits S. ↑,
112', Dkidak A. ↓, Scholten S. ↑,
120+1', Butter N. 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 1-2.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, IJsselmeervogels won 1.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, IJsselmeervogels won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, IJsselmeervogels won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
Watch
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Kaarsgaren B. (G) 
Van Bohemen C. 
Robertha G. 
Ignacio R. 
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