Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 28

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Landen Stadium (Sydney)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	NPL NNSWF


	Blacktown City		University of New South Wales

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.30	3.50	2.65
	2.15	3.35	2.75
	2.29	3.71	2.69
	2.29	3.75	2.74
	2.25	3.65	2.65
	2.39	3.64	2.66	Watch
	2.19	3.45	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.95)	3.58 ↑ (3.45)	2.71 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blacktown City
40.5%

Draw
25.6%

University of New South Wales
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

25.9%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

23.5%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blacktown City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Blacktown City's form might have worsened.

University of New South Wales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting University of New South Wales's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blacktown City than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Blacktown City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for University of New South Wales than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for University of New South Wales, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Blacktown City - University of New South Wales Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 14).

Blacktown City is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, UNSW has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Blacktown City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Blacktown City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Blacktown City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blacktown City FC
Australian NPL NSW
08.08.26	North West Sydney Spirit - Blacktown City	3:1 ✺
02.08.26	Blacktown City - Sydney FC U23	4:2 ✺
26.07.26	Wollongong Wolves - Blacktown City	0:2 ✺
19.07.26	Blacktown City - St. George City	3:0 ✺
11.07.26	SD Raiders - Blacktown City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWWWW
- University of New South Wales FC
Australian NPL NSW
08.08.26	University of New South Wales - Sydney Olympic	1:3 ✺
01.08.26	Western Sydney Wanderers Youth - University of New South Wales	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - University of New South Wales	4:1 ✺
18.07.26	University of New South Wales - North West Sydney Spirit	3:1 ✺
11.07.26	St. George City - University of New South Wales	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
02.05.26	University of New South Wales - Blacktown City	2:2

Blacktown City - University of New South Wales: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide