The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St George Saints 19.7%
Draw 22.5%
Rockdale Ilinden 57.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27%
24.8%
48.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.6%
24.4%
48.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St George Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St George Saints's form might have worsened.
Rockdale Ilinden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rockdale Ilinden's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St George Saints than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St George Saints, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rockdale Ilinden than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rockdale Ilinden, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
St George Saints - Rockdale Ilinden Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
8', 0 - 1, ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, ⚽,
30', 1 - 2, ⚽,
43', 1 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
56', (Penalty Awarded),
62', 1 - 4, ⚽,
87', 1 - 5, ⚽,
90', 1 - 6, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone NPL NSW (Relegation) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Recent form of St George Saints has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Rockdale Ilinden has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, St George Saints has had a series of away games.
In this match, Rockdale Ilinden is the team to beat.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St George Saints won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:16. (average 0.6:3.2).
Including home matches between the teams, St George Saints won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).
Australia
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