The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
APIA Leichhardt Tigers 56.1%
Draw 22.3%
Rockdale Ilinden 21.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.4%
21.8%
19.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.2%
19.5%
17.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
APIA Leichhardt Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Rockdale Ilinden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for APIA Leichhardt Tigers than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for APIA Leichhardt Tigers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rockdale Ilinden than the current prediction. (-4%)
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, APIA Leichhardt won 4.
APIA Leichhardt is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Rockdale Ilinden has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Rockdale Ilinden may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, APIA Leichhardt is considered a favorite.
We predict that APIA Leichhardt will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, APIA Leichhardt won 14 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 60:23. (average 3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, APIA Leichhardt won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 36:9. (average 4:1).
Australia
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