Match Info
NPL NSW - Round 22Date: 5 July 2026, SundayLocation: Rockdale Ilinden Sports Centre (Sydney)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | NPL NNSWF |
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 |
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Rockdale Ilinden |
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North West Sydney Spirit |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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|
 Watch |
 |
1.95 |
3.50 |
3.30 |
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 |
1.98 |
3.35 |
3.2 |
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 |
2.07 |
3.86 |
3.12 |
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 |
1.94 |
3.94 |
3.34 |
Watch |
 |
1.94 |
3.85 |
3.15 |
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 |
2.01 |
3.9 |
3.16 |
Watch |
 |
2.01 |
3.4 |
3.25 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↓
(2.25) |
3.69 ↑
(3.3) |
3.22 ↑
(2.63) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Rockdale Ilinden
46.4% | Draw
25% | North West Sydney Spirit
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rockdale Ilinden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rockdale Ilinden's performance.North West Sydney Spirit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and North West Sydney Spirit might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rockdale Ilinden than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rockdale Ilinden that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for North West Sydney Spirit than the current prediction. (+4.3%)Rockdale Ilinden - North West Sydney Spirit Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 68', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rockdale Ilinden won 3.Rockdale Ilinden is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).NWS Spirit has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Rockdale Ilinden may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Rockdale Ilinden has had a series of away games. Rockdale Ilinden will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Rockdale Ilinden won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:10. (average 2:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Rockdale Ilinden won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NPL NSW | | | 21.03.26 | North West Sydney Spirit - Rockdale Ilinden | 0:2 | | 07.09.25 | North West Sydney Spirit - Rockdale Ilinden | 1:2 ET | | 19.07.25 | North West Sydney Spirit - Rockdale Ilinden | 6:3 | | 06.04.25 | Rockdale Ilinden - North West Sydney Spirit | 1:1 | | 06.07.24 | North West Sydney Spirit - Rockdale Ilinden | 1:2 | | 31.03.24 | Rockdale Ilinden - North West Sydney Spirit | 3:1 | | 13.08.23 | Rockdale Ilinden - North West Sydney Spirit | 2:0 |
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