Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 28

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	St Ives Town		Halesowen Town

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.5	2.35
	2.54	3.68	2.38
	2.54	3.87	2.39	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.3
	2.49	3.54	2.33
	2.54	3.66	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.82)	3.59 ↓ (3.95)	2.35 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St Ives Town
36.1%

Draw
25.3%

Halesowen Town
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

23.5%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

23.3%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Ives Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Halesowen Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Ives Town than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Halesowen Town than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Halesowen Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

St Ives Town - Halesowen Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Holmes F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
47', 0 - 2, Butterfield K. ⚽,
69', 0 - 3, Cowley J. ⚽,
90+4', 0 - 4, Manning M. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Ives won 1.

In recent matches, St Ives has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Halesowen is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Halesowen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, St Ives won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, St Ives won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Halesowen: 1.52%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Halesowen	7	4	0	3	8:8	0	12

Last Results with these Odds

St Ives Town - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 32.92%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Halesowen Town - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.58%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St Ives Town
English Southern League Central Division
03.01.26	St Ives Town - Royston Town	2:2 ✺
27.12.25	Real Bedford - St Ives Town	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	St Ives Town - Barwell	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Stratford Town - St Ives Town	6:1 ✺
06.12.25	St Ives Town - Worcester City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TWTLW
- Halesowen Town
English Southern League Central Division
17.01.26	Halesowen Town - Royston Town	2:1 ✺
03.01.26	Halesowen Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	3:1 ✺
26.12.25	Worcester City - Halesowen Town	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Halesowen Town - Leiston	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Sudbury Town - Halesowen Town	5:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
20.09.25	Halesowen Town - St Ives Town	1:0
05.04.25	St Ives Town - Halesowen Town	0:0
24.08.24	Halesowen Town - St Ives Town	1:0
20.04.24	Halesowen Town - St Ives Town	4:3
11.11.23	St Ives Town - Halesowen Town	4:2
19.01.19	Halesowen Town - St Ives Town	1:1
17.11.18	St Ives Town - Halesowen Town	2:0

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