Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 23

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Halesowen Town		Leiston

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.55	2.98
	2.02	3.45	3.17
	2.05	3.77	3.15	Watch
	2.03	3.48	3.11
	2.05	3.5	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.74)	3.55 ↓ (4.01)	3.11 ↓ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Halesowen Town
44.9%

Draw
25.7%

Leiston
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

23.1%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

22.6%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Halesowen Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Halesowen Town's form might have worsened.

Leiston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leiston's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Halesowen Town than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Halesowen Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leiston, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Halesowen Town - Leiston Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Fowkes B. ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, Fowkes B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 1 - 2, Holmes F. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Halesowen won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Leiston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Halesowen could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Halesowen won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Halesowen won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Halesowen Town
English Southern League Central Division
13.12.25	Sudbury Town - Halesowen Town	5:5 ✺
06.12.25	Halesowen Town - Kettering Town	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Halesowen Town - Bishops Stortford	4:4 ✺
22.11.25	Stourbridge - Halesowen Town	1:3 ✺
18.11.25	Halesowen Town - Alvechurch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTTWW
- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
06.12.25	Spalding United - Leiston	4:1 ✺
29.11.25	Leiston - Real Bedford	1:0 ✺
24.11.25	St Ives Town - Leiston	1:3 ✺
22.11.25	Stratford Town - Leiston	2:1 ✺
18.11.25	Leiston - Bishops Stortford	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
09.08.25	Leiston - Halesowen Town	2:2
19.04.25	Leiston - Halesowen Town	0:3
07.09.24	Halesowen Town - Leiston	1:1
20.02.24	Leiston - Halesowen Town	2:1
05.08.23	Halesowen Town - Leiston	2:1
23.03.19	Halesowen Town - Leiston	0:0
13.10.18	Leiston - Halesowen Town	4:0

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