Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 July 2024, Thursday

Location: Europa point stadium (Gibraltar)

Referee: Szikszay L. (Cze)


	St Josephs		Shelbourne

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	2
	3.3	3.25	2.05
	3.4	3.3	2.05
	3.56	3.4	2.16
	3.5	3.37	2.07	Watch
	3.4	3.4	1.95
	3.44	3.38	2.09
	3.4	3.3	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↓ (4.13)	3.38 ↓ (3.87)	2.06 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St Josephs
27.4%

Draw
27.5%

Shelbourne
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

23.8%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Josephs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St Josephs's performance.

Shelbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shelbourne might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.7%	18.7%	37.5%

St Josephs - Shelbourne Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. St Josephs will win (votes: 14 - 45.2%). Shelbourne will win (votes: 12 - 38.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St Josephs: 27.7% – 62.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Navas A. (G) 14. Barnett E. 20. Cardozo G. 4. Paul J. 21. Pons A. 11. Walker L. 22. Juanma (C) 6. Sanchez M. 23. Alvarez F. 9. Rodriguez Moreno P. 10. Rey A.	1. Kearns C. (G) 2. Gannon S. 15. Bone S. 29. Barrett P. 4. Ledwidge K. 6. Lunney J. 8. Coyle M. (C) 3. Wilson T. 14. Coote A. 10. Martin J. 36. Jarvis W.
Substitutes
12. Aznar Fernandez C. 1. Banda B. (G) 8. Bauti 19. Borge D. 2. Jolley E. 15. Juanfri 7. Lucas Gaucho 3. Olivero J. 30. Paz G. (G) 5. Rosa M.	9. Boyd S. 67. Burt L. 27. Caffrey E. 5. Griffin S. 19. Healy L. (G) 16. O'Sullivan J. 11. Smith M. 50. Topcu A. (G) 22. Williams D. 7. Wood H.
Coaches
Paz A.	Duff D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', Sanchez M. 🟨,
19', Rey A. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Walker L. ⚽, Rey A. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Bone S. ⚽, Coote A. (A),
39', Ledwidge K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ledwidge K. ↓, Wood H. ↑,
46', Coote A. ↓, Caffrey E. ↑,
46', Alvarez F. ↓, Juanfri ↑,
56', Rodriguez Moreno P. ↓, Lucas Gaucho ↑,
56', Pons A. ↓, Olivero J. ↑,
56', Barnett E. ↓, Bauti ↑,
59', Martin J. ↓, Boyd S. ↑,
63', Paul J. 🟨,
67', Jarvis W. 🟨,
78', Coyle M. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
81', Barrett P. 🟨,
81', Juanma ↓, Aznar Fernandez C. ↑,
83', Walker L. 🟨,
86', Jarvis W. ↓, Griffin S. ↑,
88', Kearns C. 🟨,
90+2', Gannon S. 🟥,
90+3', Olivero J. 🟥,
90+5', Boyd S. ↓, O'Sullivan J. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

Shelbourne is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

St Josephs could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Shelbourne will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches St Josephs won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St Josephs FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.07.24	Shelbourne - St Josephs	2:1 ✺
Gibraltar National League
28.04.24	St Josephs - Magpies	2:0 ✺
24.04.24	Europa Point - St Josephs	0:3 ✺
20.04.24	Mons Calpe - St Josephs	0:2 ✺
14.04.24	St Josephs - Mons Calpe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWWL
- Shelbourne
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.07.24	Shelbourne - St Josephs	2:1 ✺
Irish Premier Division
04.07.24	Drogheda United - Shelbourne	1:1 ✺
28.06.24	Shelbourne - Galway United	2:0 ✺
13.06.24	Waterford - Shelbourne	0:1 ✺
07.06.24	Shelbourne - Dundalk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
11.07.24	Shelbourne - St Josephs	2:1

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