Match Info

Challenge League - Round 9

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	St. Andrews		Melita

	1	X	2
	4.45	3.7	1.62	Watch
	4.46	3.75	1.62
	4.52	3.98	1.61	Watch
	4.25	4.04	1.67
	4.33	3.66	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.4 ↑ (3.5)	3.83 ↑ (3.65)	1.62 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Andrews
20.6%

Draw
23.7%

Melita
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

24.9%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

25.4%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Andrews has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. Andrews's form might have worsened.

Melita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melita's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Andrews than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Andrews, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melita than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melita, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

St. Andrews - Melita Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Mosquera D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: )).

St. Andrews has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Melita is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Melita may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Melita might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, St. Andrews won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 1:4.5).

Including home match between the teams, St. Andrews won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Andrews FC
Maltese Challenge League
10.12.25	Pietà Hotspurs - St. Andrews	1:3 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
06.12.25	St. Andrews - Vittoriosa Stars	3:0 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
30.11.25	St. Andrews - Sirens	0:4 ✺
23.11.25	Gudja United - St. Andrews	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	St. Andrews - Fgura United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWLWL
- Melita FC
Maltese Challenge League
10.12.25	Mġarr United - Melita	1:3 ✺
30.11.25	Melita - Pietà Hotspurs	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Sirens - Melita	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Melita - Gudja United	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Fgura United - Melita	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
26.11.23	St. Andrews - Melita	0:3
02.10.22	Melita - St. Andrews	6:2

St. Andrews - Melita: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide