Match Info

Premier League - Relegation

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Naxxar Lions		Melita

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.4	3.3
				Watch
	1.88	3.78	3.92
	1.79	3.71	3.84
	1.8	3.55	3.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.96)	3.61 ↓ (3.65)	3.72 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naxxar Lions
49.9%

Draw
25.4%

Melita
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

25.4%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

24.8%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naxxar Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Melita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melita than the current prediction. (+2%)

Naxxar Lions - Melita Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Debono M. (G) 9. Bolanos E. 28. Bonanno G. 10. Farias E. (C) 25. Fernando Barbosa 18. Hugo Santos 33. Joao Moura 20. Laton 23. Maicon Souza 3. Micallef N. 4. Sane B.	1. Mizzi G. (G) 6. Attard J. P. (C) 24. Barone G. 26. Bondin K. 10. Debattista M. 77. Martinez S. 27. Sanchez Gonzalez C. A. 3. Simanca A. 13. Van de Bovenkamp M. 14. Xuereb D. 19. Yepez J.
Substitutes
17. Bonanno J. J. 29. Borg J. 30. Farrugia J. 12. Fenech A. (G) 21. Fenech M. 13. Haber K. 19. Hernandez A. 22. Maloul H. 26. Micallef M. 7. Yamaguchi T. 44. Yasukaze I.	17. Abela J. 2. Aquilina A. 18. Attard E. 11. Borg O. A. 5. Cachia M. 21. Cutajar D. 22. Gyamfi C. 12. Lubik A. (G) 7. Mohnani K. 15. Sammut M. 23. Testaferrata P. G.
Coaches
Vella G.	Mizzi C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Micallef N. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 0, Hugo Santos ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Fernando Barbosa 🟨,
55', Martinez S. 🟨,
60', Simanca A. ↓, Mohnani K. ↑,
60', Martinez S. ↓, Attard E. ↑,
69', Farias E. ↓, Yasukaze I. ↑,
74', Yepez J. ↓, Cutajar D. ↑,
74', Bondin K. ↓, Gyamfi C. ↑,
81', Bolanos E. ↓, Yamaguchi T. ↑,
81', Hugo Santos ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
81', Bonanno G. ↓, Farrugia J. ↑,
89', Xuereb D. ↓, Abela J. ↑,
90', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+5', Yamaguchi T. 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
90+7', Van de Bovenkamp M. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Naxxar won 4.

Naxxar is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Melita has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

Naxxar will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Naxxar won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Naxxar won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naxxar Lions
Maltese Premier League
03.05.25	Balzan - Naxxar Lions	1:1 ✺
28.04.25	Gżira United - Naxxar Lions	0:2 ✺
21.04.25	Naxxar Lions - Melita	2:0 ✺
11.04.25	Paola Hibernians - Naxxar Lions	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Naxxar Lions	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 TWWWL
- Melita FC
Maltese Premier League
03.05.25	Gżira United - Melita	2:2 ✺
28.04.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Melita	2:0 ✺
21.04.25	Naxxar Lions - Melita	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Balzan - Melita	3:1 ✺
06.04.25	Paola Hibernians - Melita	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
21.04.25	Naxxar Lions - Melita	2:0
23.02.25	Melita - Naxxar Lions	2:5
Maltese FA Trophy
11.01.25	Naxxar Lions - Melita	4:2 ET
Maltese Premier League
25.11.24	Melita - Naxxar Lions	0:3
03.10.24	Naxxar Lions - Melita	0:0
Maltese Challenge League
22.04.23	Naxxar Lions - Melita	0:5
05.03.23	Melita - Naxxar Lions	1:2

Naxxar Lions - Melita: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide