Match Info

MALTA: CHALLENGE LEAGUE - ROUND 10

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday


	Fgura United		Naxxar Lions

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.2	2.15
	2.9	3.2	2.14
	2.98	3.31	2.2
	2.94	3.3	2.19
	2.95	3.3	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.6)	3.26 ↑ (2.98)	2.18 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fgura United
30.9%

Draw
27.7%

Naxxar Lions
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

29.9%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

31.5%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fgura United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Naxxar Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Naxxar Lions's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fgura United than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fgura United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Naxxar Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group)).

Recent matches Fgura is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Naxxar Lions in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Naxxar Lions could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Fgura won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Fgura won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fgura United
Maltese Challenge League
01.11.22	Mtarfa - Fgura United	0:2 ✺
29.10.22	Fgura United - Marsaskala	2:0 ✺
16.10.22	Tarxien Rainbows - Fgura United	2:1 ✺
09.10.22	Fgura United - Żurrieq	1:4 ✺
02.10.22	Swieqi United - Fgura United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLLT
- Naxxar Lions
Maltese Challenge League
01.11.22	Naxxar Lions - Mqabba	1:1 ✺
28.10.22	Mtarfa - Naxxar Lions	0:1 ✺
15.10.22	Naxxar Lions - Zejtun Corinthians	3:2 ✺
08.10.22	Marsaskala - Naxxar Lions	0:3 ✺
02.10.22	Naxxar Lions - Qrendi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
06.12.20	Fgura United - Naxxar Lions	2:0
12.01.20	Fgura United - Naxxar Lions	1:1
08.04.17	Fgura United - Naxxar Lions	1:2

Fgura United - Naxxar Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide