Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 22 August 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kybunpark (St. Gallen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Austria	21:00	A Spor
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, SRF Info, SRF Info, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV
Turkey	22:00	A Spor


	St. Gallen		Trabzonspor

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.3	Watch
	1.98	3.4	3.25
	2.05	3.6	3.3
	2.08	3.6	3.45
	2.02	3.72	3.32	Watch
	2.15	3.5	2.88
	2.1	3.74	3.43	Watch
	2.05	3.6	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.43)	3.58 ↑ (3.37)	3.28 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Gallen
45.5%

Draw
26%

Trabzonspor
28.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.4%

27.7%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

27.4%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Gallen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. Gallen's performance.

Trabzonspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Trabzonspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Gallen than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. Gallen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trabzonspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.2%	25%	20.8%

St. Gallen - Trabzonspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. St. Gallen will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%). Trabzonspor will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Gallen: 34.3% – 74.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ati Zigi L. (G) 22. Faber K. 5. Ambrosius S. 20. Vallci A. 36. Okoroji C. 8. Quintilla J. 16. Gortler L. (C) 24. Toma B. 7. Witzig C. 9. Geubbels W. 10. Akolo C.	1. Cakir U. (C) 11. Tufan O. 15. Savic S. 24. Denswil S. 3. Barisic B. 35. Yokuslu O. 6. Mendy B. 7. Visca E. 8. Bardhi E. 99. Orsic M. 94. Destan E.
Substitutes
11. Cisse M. 77. Csoboth K. 15. Diaby A. 35. Dumrath B. (G) 63. Konietzke C. 90. Milosevic J. 14. Noah Yannick 30. Ruiz V. 4. Stanic J. 64. Stevanovic M. 25. Watkowiak L. (G)	20. Asan S. 2. Baniya R. 44. Batagov A. 77. Bosluk A. 61. Canak C. 25. Cevikkan O. (G) 70. Dragus D. 23. Gunes U. 5. Lundstram J. 54. Taha M. (G) 10. Trezeguet 90. Yildirim P.
Coaches
Maassen E.	Avci A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Yokuslu O. 🟨,
34', Quintilla J. ↓, Stevanovic M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Yokuslu O. ↓, Lundstram J. ↑,
65', Orsic M. ↓, Trezeguet ↑,
72', Toma B. ↓, Csoboth K. ↑,
72', Witzig C. ↓, Ruiz V. ↑,
73', Akolo C. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
73', Bardhi E. ↓, Canak C. ↑,
80', Ruiz V. 🟨,
81', Barisic B. 🟨,
84', Mendy B. ↓, Gunes U. ↑,
85', Destan E. ↓, Dragus D. ↑,
88', 🟨,
90+1', Gortler L. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

St. Gallen is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Trabzonspor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

St. Gallen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

St. Gallen will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC St. Gallen
Swiss Cup
18.08.24	Malcantone - St. Gallen	0:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.08.24	Śląsk Wrocław - St. Gallen	3:2 ✺
Swiss Super League
11.08.24	St. Gallen - Grasshoppers	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.24	St. Gallen - Śląsk Wrocław	2:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
04.08.24	Lausanne-Sport - St. Gallen	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWWW
- Trabzonspor
UEFA Europa League
15.08.24	Rapid Wien - Trabzonspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
11.08.24	Sivasspor - Trabzonspor	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.08.24	Trabzonspor - Rapid Wien	0:1 ✺
01.08.24	Trabzonspor - Ružomberok	1:0 ✺
25.07.24	Ružomberok - Trabzonspor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTLWW

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