Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 9

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Penshurst Park (Sydney)


	St. George City		Blacktown City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.5	3.65	Watch
	2.06	3.82	3.25
	5.98	3.74	1.56	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.1
	2.01	3.63	3.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.23)	3.6 ↑ (3.48)	2.99 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. George City
37%

Draw
28.6%

Blacktown City
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

26.2%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

25.1%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. George City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Blacktown City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. George City than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Blacktown City aligns with the current prediction.

St. George City - Blacktown City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Jez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', 1 - 1, Taleb A. ⚽,
77', 1 - 2, Jackson-Brown C. ⚽,
85', 2 - 2, Rossello S. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone NPL NSW (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. George City won 1.

St. George City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Blacktown City is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, St. George City won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, St. George City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. George City FA
Australian NPL NSW
28.03.26	University of New South Wales - St. George City	5:0 ✺
21.03.26	St. George City - Wollongong Wolves	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	St. George City - SD Raiders	4:3 ✺
07.03.26	North West Sydney Spirit - St. George City	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	St. George City - Western Sydney Wanderers Youth	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWLW
- Blacktown City FC
Australian NPL NSW
29.03.26	Blacktown City - SD Raiders	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Sydney United - Blacktown City	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Blacktown City - Marconi Stallions	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Blacktown City	3:2 ✺
28.02.26	Blacktown City - Sutherland Sharks	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
22.06.25	Blacktown City - St. George City	3:1
08.03.25	St. George City - Blacktown City	0:2
28.08.24	Blacktown City - St. George City	4:2 ET
29.06.24	Blacktown City - St. George City	1:2
23.03.24	St. George City - Blacktown City	0:2
06.08.23	Blacktown City - St. George City	2:2
22.04.23	St. George City - Blacktown City	2:2

St. George City - Blacktown City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide