Match Info

NPL Queensland - Round 14

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday


	St. George Willawong		Gold Coast Knights

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6	4.75	1.41
	5.15	4.35	1.46	Watch
	5.48	4.97	1.46
	5.36	4.2	1.51	Watch
	6	4.4	1.4
	5.2	4.64	1.51	Watch
	5.15	4.35	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.48 ↑ (3.56)	4.52 ↑ (3.64)	1.46 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. George Willawong
16.8%

Draw
20.3%

Gold Coast Knights
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

25.2%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

25.4%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. George Willawong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. George Willawong's form might have worsened.

Gold Coast Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gold Coast Knights's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. George Willawong than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. George Willawong, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gold Coast Knights than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gold Coast Knights, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

St. George Willawong - Gold Coast Knights Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Gjorgiev S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
61', 2 - 0, Jankovic L. ⚽,
72', 2 - 1, Walters M. ⚽,
79', 2 - 2, Walters M. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Gold Coast Knights may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Gold Coast Knights is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, St. George Willawong won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. George Willawong
Australian NPL Queensland
08.06.25	St. George Willawong - Gold Coast United	1:1 ✺
03.06.25	St. George Willawong - Eastern Suburbs	0:1 ✺
28.05.25	St. George Willawong - Olympic FC	2:4 ✺
25.05.25	St. George Willawong - Moreton City Excelsior	3:1 ✺
17.05.25	Sunshine Coast Wanderers - St. George Willawong	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.3 TLLWW
- Gold Coast Knights
Australian NPL Queensland
08.06.25	Gold Coast Knights - Wynnum Wolves	4:2 ✺
30.05.25	Queensland Lions - Gold Coast Knights	3:1 ✺
24.05.25	Gold Coast Knights - Gold Coast United	0:1 ✺
09.05.25	Gold Coast Knights - St. George Willawong	0:0 ✺
02.05.25	Gold Coast Knights - Moreton City Excelsior	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Queensland
09.05.25	Gold Coast Knights - St. George Willawong	0:0

St. George Willawong - Gold Coast Knights: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide