Match Info
NPL Queensland - Round 17Date: 4 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: Croatian Sports Centre (Carrara)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | FQTV |
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Gold Coast Knights |
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Moreton City Excelsior |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
2.50 |
3.90 |
2.30 |
|
 |
2.55 |
3.75 |
2.17 |
|
 |
2.57 |
4.10 |
2.27 |
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 |
2.8 |
4.02 |
2.12 |
Watch |
 |
2.50 |
3.95 |
2.20 |
|
 |
2.56 |
3.96 |
2.35 |
Watch |
 |
2.55 |
3.85 |
2.23 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↑
(2.55) |
3.93 ↑
(3.7) |
2.23 ↑
(2.17) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Gold Coast Knights
35.6% | Draw
23.3% | Moreton City Excelsior
41.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gold Coast Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Moreton City Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gold Coast Knights than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreton City Excelsior than the current prediction. (+1.7%)Gold Coast Knights - Moreton City Excelsior Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 25', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 65', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: ))The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Gold Coast Knights may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast Knights won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 1.4:3).Including home matches between the teams, Gold Coast Knights won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NPL Queensland | | | 20.02.26 | Moreton City Excelsior - Gold Coast Knights | 4:1 | | 15.08.25 | Moreton City Excelsior - Gold Coast Knights | 4:0 | | 02.05.25 | Gold Coast Knights - Moreton City Excelsior | 1:0 | | 02.08.24 | Gold Coast Knights - Moreton City Excelsior | 2:5 | | 27.04.24 | Moreton City Excelsior - Gold Coast Knights | 2:3 |
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