Match Info

Queensland Premier League - Round 11

Date: 3 June 2026, Wednesday

Location: Ballinger Park (Buderim)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	FQTV


	Sunshine Coast Wanderers		St. George Willawong

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.15	4.45
	1.6	4.39	4.4
	1.30	6.01	7.28	Watch
	1.57	3.9	4.2
	1.57	4.2	4.41
	2.2	3.55	2.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (2.2)	4.37 ↑ (3.55)	4.58 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunshine Coast Wanderers
57.8%

Draw
21.6%

St. George Willawong
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

25.6%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

24.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunshine Coast Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sunshine Coast Wanderers's performance.

St. George Willawong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St. George Willawong might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunshine Coast Wanderers than the current prediction. (-18.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sunshine Coast Wanderers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. George Willawong than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St. George Willawong could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sunshine Coast Wanderers - St. George Willawong Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sunshine Coast will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sunshine Coast (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Sunshine Coast (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sunshine Coast (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, ⚽,
43', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
47', 4 - 0, ⚽,
49', 5 - 0, ⚽,
70', 6 - 0, ⚽,
78', 7 - 0, ⚽,
90+2', 8 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Sunshine Coast has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

St. George Willawong is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Sunshine Coast is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sunshine Coast won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 2:3).

Including home match between the teams, Sunshine Coast won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Australian Queensland Premier League
23.05.26	Holland Park Hawks - Sunshine Coast Wanderers	3:2 ✺
09.05.26	Broadbeach United - Sunshine Coast Wanderers	3:0 ✺
25.04.26	Ipswich FC - Sunshine Coast Wanderers	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Sunshine Coast Wanderers - Logan Lightning	5:2 ✺
11.04.26	Brisbane Strikers - Sunshine Coast Wanderers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLTWL
- St. George Willawong
Australian Queensland Premier League
24.05.26	St. George Willawong - Ipswich FC	0:4 ✺
10.05.26	St. George Willawong - Logan Lightning	0:2 ✺
24.04.26	Brisbane Strikers - St. George Willawong	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Caboolture Sports - St. George Willawong	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Robina City - St. George Willawong	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Queensland
10.08.25	St. George Willawong - Sunshine Coast Wanderers	3:2
17.05.25	Sunshine Coast Wanderers - St. George Willawong	2:3

Sunshine Coast Wanderers - St. George Willawong: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide