Match Info

Queensland Premier League - Round 12

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Willawong (Willawong)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	FQTV


	St. George Willawong		Ipswich FC

	1	X	2
	3.45	3.7	1.8
	3.77	3.88	1.8
	3.70	3.84	1.84	Watch
	3.5	3.5	1.8
	3.69	3.64	1.8
	2.66	3.45	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (2.66)	3.67 ↑ (3.45)	1.89 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. George Willawong
26.5%

Draw
25%

Ipswich FC
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

26.4%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

26.6%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. George Willawong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. George Willawong's form might have worsened.

Ipswich FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ipswich FC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. George Willawong than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. George Willawong, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich FC than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ipswich FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

St. George Willawong - Ipswich FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
67', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+6', 0 - 3, ⚽,
90+7', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Queensland Premier League (Play Offs: )).

St. George Willawong has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ipswich is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ipswich may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ipswich might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, St. George Willawong won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, St. George Willawong won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. George Willawong
Australian Queensland Premier League
10.05.26	St. George Willawong - Logan Lightning	0:2 ✺
24.04.26	Brisbane Strikers - St. George Willawong	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Caboolture Sports - St. George Willawong	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Robina City - St. George Willawong	4:0 ✺
28.03.26	St. George Willawong - Capalaba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTLL
- Ipswich FC Australia
Australian Queensland Premier League
16.05.26	Ipswich FC - Broadbeach United	2:2 ✺
10.05.26	Capalaba - Ipswich FC	2:4 ✺
25.04.26	Ipswich FC - Sunshine Coast Wanderers	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	North Star - Ipswich FC	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Ipswich FC - Logan Lightning	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Queensland Premier League
27.02.26	Ipswich FC - St. George Willawong	1:0
26.05.24	St. George Willawong - Ipswich FC	2:0

St. George Willawong - Ipswich FC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide