Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 15

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished


	St. Johann im Pongau		Kitzbühel

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.35	2.58
	2.38	3.4	2.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.47)	3.38 ↑ (3.36)	2.55 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 11.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Johann im Pongau
38.2%

Draw
26.6%

Kitzbühel
35.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.4%

26.7%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

25.5%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Johann im Pongau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Kitzbühel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Johann im Pongau than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kitzbühel than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

St. Johann im Pongau - Kitzbühel Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - St. Johann (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Johann (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 13)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Johann won 2.

St. Johann has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kitzbühel is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

St. Johann may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, St. Johann won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:12. (average 2.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, St. Johann won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV St. Johann im Pongau
Austrian Regionalliga West
25.10.25	Wals-Grünau - St. Johann im Pongau	1:2 ✺
16.10.25	St. Johann im Pongau - FC Pinzgau Saalfelden	3:0 ✺
11.10.25	Dornbirn - St. Johann im Pongau	3:1 ✺
04.10.25	St. Johann im Pongau - Reichenau	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Seekirchen - St. Johann im Pongau	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWLLL
- FC Kitzbühel
Austrian Regionalliga West
25.10.25	Kitzbühel - Kufstein	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Hohenems - Kitzbühel	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Kitzbühel - Kuchl	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Schwaz - Kitzbühel	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Kitzbühel - Imst	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga West
21.03.25	St. Johann im Pongau - Kitzbühel	2:1
28.09.18	Kitzbühel - St. Johann im Pongau	3:2
03.11.17	St. Johann im Pongau - Kitzbühel	2:2
04.08.17	Kitzbühel - St. Johann im Pongau	3:3
04.05.16	Kitzbühel - St. Johann im Pongau	1:3
26.09.15	St. Johann im Pongau - Kitzbühel	4:1
Austrian OFB Cup
18.07.15	St. Johann im Pongau - Kitzbühel	4:0

St. Johann im Pongau - Kitzbühel